Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Second seed Alexander Zverev is hoping to win the Mutua Madrid Open for the third time this weekend. The German takes on tenth seed Flavio Cobolli in the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court Masters tournament. More information in our match preview below.
For the winner of this match, there's a semi-final against either 12th seed Casper Ruud or unseeded Alexander Blockx.
Alexander Zverev is third in both the live rankings and ATP Race. He's twice won this title, most recently in 2021. This is his sixth quarter-final in Madrid but first in four years. He's reached five semi-finals this year, only failing to reach that stage in one singles tournament.
On clay, Zverev has won nine of his 11 matches played this year with semi-finals in Monte Carlo and Munich. So far in Madrid, he's won three matches but had to go to a deciding set against Mariano Navone and in the last 16, Jakub Mensik.
He leads Cobolli 2-1 in previous meetings and they are 1-1 on clay..
The one win for Cobolli on this surface was in the recent Munich tournament where the Italian lost in the final to Ben Shelton. Cobolli has won eight of his ten clay court matches this season Two of his three matches in this tournament have gone to a deciding set.
We tip Cobolli to win a set.
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Flavio Cobolli v Alexander Zverev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.98 | 1.39 |
|
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3.04 | 1.38 |
|
|
3 | 1.4 |
|
|
2.84 | 1.39 |
|
|
2.84 | 1.39 |
|
Who will win the Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev match is: Flavio Cobolli wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev game on 30/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Flavio Cobolli has a 39.12% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 3.35.
- Alexander Zverev has a 60.88% probability of winning facing Flavio Cobolli ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at Betway.
Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Flavio Cobolli has a 39.12 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | 39.12 % |
| Alexander Zverev | 60.88 % |
Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Form
Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
20 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
31 May 2025 - ATP French Open
Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Cobolli recently beat Zverev on clay in Munich.
- Cobolli has won a set in eight of his last ten clay court matches.
- Zverev has lost a set in seven of his last nine matches played on this surface.
- In three previous meetings, Cobolli has only once failed to take a set off Zverev and that was played on a grass court.
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Our Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Flavio Cobolli has set a new career-high live ranking of 12th this week and is ninth in the ATP Race. The Italian has already reached one clay court final this year, losing to Ben Shelton in Munich. On his way to that final, Cobolli beat his opponent in this match.
Cobolli has also won an outdoor hard court tournament this year. While Zverev has been incredibly consistent this year, he is yet to reach a final and has dropped two sets in this tournament.. Our Flavio Cobolli v Alexander Zverev prediction is Flavio Cobolli wins a set.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
