Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Santiago Open
ATP - ATP Santiago Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Third seed Sebastian Baez will play the unseeded Cristian Grin next as he begins his campaign at the Chile Open. They will face off in the second round, marking the second time they have duelled in Santiago. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Cristian Garin is having a disappointing season so far and will hope playing on home soil allows him to offset his early-season struggles. The Chilean had not won a match until this week and had lost four consecutive fixtures.
Garin, who is up three places to 90th in the live ranking, defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo in three sets in the last round. A former champion of this event, Garin, defeated Baez when they last met. That was in Miami three seasons ago.
Sebastian Baez is having a far better season than Garin and will arrive hoping to make a winning start to the week. The Argentine has won 10 of 14 matches so far but is currently on a two-match skid.
After a semi-final finish in Buenos Aires, Baez was unable to defend his title in Rio and fell in the first round. His disappointing showing in Rio has seen the 25-year-old drop eight places in the live ranking to 60th.
Baez is also a former champion in Santiago and has not, in his last four appearances, failed to at least make the semi-finals.
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Christian Garin v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.92 | 1.41 |
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2.92 | 1.41 |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.88 | 1.37 |
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2.88 | 1.37 |
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Who will win the Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez game on 26/02/2026 of the current ATP Santiago Open season:
- Christian Garin has a 34.98% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 3.05.
- Sebastian Baez has a 65.02% probability of winning facing Christian Garin ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at Bet365.
Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Christian Garin has a 34.98 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Christian Garin | 34.98 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 65.02 % |
Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez Form
Christian Garin and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
9 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
4 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
20 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
2 Mar 2023 - ATP Santiago Open
3 Feb 2022 - ATP Cordoba
Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Both wins that Baez has managed against Garin were on clay courts.
- Garin has lost four times in five outings this season.
- Baez has previously beaten Garin twice.
- Baez has won 10 times so far in 2026
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Our Christian Garin vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Our prediction for Cristian Garin v Sebastian Baez is for the exact score: 1-2. Baez has beaten Garin twice before, and both victories came on clay. As he is having a far better season than Garin, Baez looks likely to proceed to the next round.
The Argentine has won 10 times in 14 outings, whereas Garin has managed one win in five fixtures. It is also worth remembering that Baez is a former Chile Open winner and has made it to at least the semi-finals in four separate seasons.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Christian Garin vs. Sebastian Baez game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Christian Garin or Sebastian Baez, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
