Europe - Conference League
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by Kennedy Kechula in Conference League Predictions
Chelsea are on course to being the first team to win all three club titles in Europe. They have one foot in the Conference League semifinals after their quarter-final first leg 3-0 win over Legia Warsaw. This Thursday, the Blues will host the Polish side in the return leg. Ahead of the match, bookies’ predictions are heavy on a Chelsea win, and it would be hard to argue against that, looking at their Conference League form.
While there are still a number of top sides for Chelsea to worry about, for the moment they will happily hold on to their status as favorites to win this title. There are still at least three matches before the Blues get there.
Legia Warsaw were never tipped to advance past this stage. Their long wait to feature in a European competition semi-final will seemingly extend. The last time they graced that occasion was in 1991. The aggregate winner in this tie will set up another two-legged face-off with Rapid Vienna or Djurgarden.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Legia Warszawa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 8 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 8 | 13 |
|
|
1.14 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.13 | 8 | 14 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.72 | 11.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Legia Warszawa?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa match is: Chelsea to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2025 between Chelsea and Legia Warszawa in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.14% for a win of Chelsea against Legia Warszawa with odds of 1.25 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa is 16.38% with odds of 8.6 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Legia Warszawa vs Chelsea with odds of 17 at Vbet.
Chelsea - Legia Warszawa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Legia Warszawa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 70.14% | 1.25 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.3% | 1.27 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 1.9 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 30.04% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa Form
Chelsea and Legia Warszawa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
6 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Apr 2025 - Polish Cup
28 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
16 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
28 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
2 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
26 Feb 2025 - Polish Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Apr 2025 - Polish Cup
16 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
10 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
Chelsea - Legia Warszawa: Form Analysis
Chelsea have a commanding lead and can afford to relax going into the return leg. Tyrique George opened the scoring for Chelsea in the first leg before Noni Madueke rose off the bench to net twice.
With a 3-0 lead, the effect of Christopher Nkunku’s missed penalty will not even be felt. The Premier League side should be able to sail through.
Enzo Maresca may, however, want to see some corrections put in after the battle from 2-0 down in the league to draw Ipswich Town. With their league finish now a priority as well, we expect Chelsea to rest key men for this game.
Chelsea have won nine straight Conference League matches.
Legia Warsaw followed up on their defeat to Chelsea with another home loss, this time against Jagiellonia Biallystok. They fell 1-0 to drop even further away from the league title race.
As they are struggling in the Conference League, their realistic silverware hopes will be in the domestic cup. They are set to meet Pogon Szczecin in the cup final and will want to spare their best players for the match.
The loss to Chelsea in the first leg marked the third time in four in this competition that Legia conceded three times. They have also lost four of their last five Conference League matches.
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Chelsea against Legia Warszawa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
O. Kellyman
M. Guiu
Chelsea & Legia Warszawa Squad Analysis
After his brace in the first leg, Noni Madueke will be hoping for another run-out at home. Two goals after featuring for 90 minutes in the competition, the winger will feel is good enough to earn him another chance.
However, with Chelsea in a commanding lead and fighting for a top five place in the league, the expected changes might mean he is rested.
The other scorer in the first leg was Tyrique George, who could be in line for another start to build his confidence. Marc Guiu, their leading scorer in the Conference League, is out of this game with a hamstring injury.
Reece James could be among the senior players called up for Legia’s visit.
Legia Warsaw will also feel they have bigger targets to focus on after their crushing defeat in the first leg. They have a cup final approaching, and it won’t be surprising to see Goncalo Feio rotate his squad after their weekend match.
Fortaleza loanee Luquinhas may, however, be handed a starting berth owing to his prolific Conference League form. The Brazilian forward has five goals in this competition, three of which he scored away from home.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Legia Warszawa
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
M. Gual
(11 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(10 Assists)
R. Vinagre
(8 Assists)
Chelsea - Legia Warszawa Key Points
- Legia are coming from two straight defeats.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in the last nine Conference League matches.
- Legia Warsaw scored in 10 straight away Conference League matches.
- In five of Chelsea’s nine Conference League matches, both teams scored.
- Legia suffered four defeats in their latest five Conference League matches.
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Our Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa Prediction
There is a feeling that Chelsea have done as much as it takes to place themselves in with a semi-final chance. However, their comfortable lead from the first leg could push Legia Warsaw to go all out in attack.
The Polish side has scored in each of the last 10 Conference League matches on the road. Even if they bow out at this stage, they’ll want to leave a mark. We still don’t see how the visitors can overturn this, considering Chelsea’s form in Europe. Our prediction for Chelsea v Legia Warsaw is for Chelsea to win and both teams to score.
Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa - Other Interesting Predictions
Home team’s highest scoring half: Second Half
While Chelsea have played all through the season as favorites to win the Conference League, they’ve had their struggles. Top among them has been the difficulty to score in the first half.
Even in matches they dominated, the Blues’ opening goal came in the second half. A case in point was their first leg meeting with Legia. In our second prediction, we pick the second half as the home team’s highest scoring half.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Legia Warszawa
| Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.27 | 1.14 | -10.2% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 8 | +28.0% |
| Legia Warszawa wins | 8.5 | 13 | +52.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 87.7% (9.0%)
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Chelsea vs Legia Warszawa match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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