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Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
27/09/2025 10:00
Brighton

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

After successful sojourns in the League Cup, Chelsea and Brighton will be calling back their full-strength squads for Premier League action. The two sides clash in the next round of fixtures in the topflight, a match to be hosted by Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. Both of these sides dropped points the past weekend, and we have a prediction below as they both seek to bounce back.

Hosts Chelsea had a disastrous start at Old Trafford and eventually suffered their first loss of the season. That saw them drop to sixth in the league standings. Meanwhile, Brighton had a capitulation of their own too as they faced off with Tottenham.

They played to a draw, which left them 14th, still searching for their second win of the season. Billed as top six contenders, the Seagulls aren’t doing much to live up to it. Avoiding a fourth straight defeat at Chelsea might restore that rating, though.

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Brighton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.75 4 4.2
Betfred
1.8 4 4.2
William Hill
1.75 3.8 4
Betway
1.78 4 4
Unibet
1.73 4.1 4.35
Check all Chelsea vs Brighton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Brighton match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Chelsea and Brighton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.47% for a win of Chelsea against Brighton with odds of 1.85 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Brighton is 18.09% with odds of 4.1 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Chelsea with odds of 4.35 at Unibet.

Chelsea vs Brighton Form

Chelsea and Brighton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Chelsea
Chelsea
8 5 2 2 1 5
14
Brighton
Brighton
5 5 1 2 2 -2

Chelsea and Brighton Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

17 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Fulham

22 Aug 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Chelsea
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Fulham

17 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Crystal Palace

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC
L W D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

17 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea

22 Aug 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Chelsea

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
L W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
0 :  6
Brighton

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Brighton
W W W D W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke

19 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Liverpool
W D L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
0 :  6
Brighton

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Brighton

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
2 :  2
Brighton

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Brighton

Chelsea vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

67 %

Draw

0 %

Brighton

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (home team)
1.67
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton

15 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  2
Chelsea

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Brighton

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Brighton
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Chelsea - Brighton: Form Analysis

Chelsea have had a tough run in their recent matches. In the past week they suffered defeat to Bayern Munich in the Champions League and to Manchester United in the league.

Those two losses in which the Blues conceded five times left questions as to whether the Club World Cup winners can really compete with the top teams. Similar asks were laid down as they went into the break of their League Cup match against Lincoln City trailing 1-0.

They did recover, though, and won 2-1. The one strength Chelsea will want to hold onto is their scoring form. Even when losing, Chelsea got on the scorer sheet.

Chelsea failed to score in only one of their competitive matches this season.

Brighton haven't had things easy either, but they have a huge win to build on. They are coming from a 6-0 win over Barnsley in the League Cup, a positive outcome after two winless outings in the league.

The Seagulls were left disappointed after losing a 2-0 lead against Tottenham Hotspur last time out only to draw 2-2.

It was particularly disheartening as Brighton, playing at home, dropped points courtesy of Paul van Hecke’s late own goal in a game they had dominated.

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Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

R. Lavia

D. Essugo

Forward

L. Delap

D. Fofana

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

M. De Cuyper

Midfielder

S. March

J. Hinshelwood

Chelsea & Brighton Squad Analysis

Chelsea’s poor afternoon at Old Trafford didn’t just end there. It claimed one of their best players in Cole Palmer. The England international limped off the pitch injured after just 21 minutes.

He will have no chance to add to his one league goal. The good news for the Blues is that goalkeeper Robert Sanchez is back after serving a suspension in the midweek League Cup match.

Apart from those two, Joao Pedro catches the eye going into this game. The Brazilian, signed from Brighton, has two goals and three assists to his name, and with Palmer missing, Pedro will surely steal the show.

Brighton will miss Adam Webster, Jack Hinshelwood, and Solomon March, all of whom are injured.

Paul van Hecke will hope for a calmer game after his own goal in the last league outing. He will need that control, as he faces Joao Pedro, his former teammate eager to leave a mark.

Brighton will have a fresh attacking threat of their own should the manager choose to reward Diego Gomez and Tom Watson after their impressive showing in midweek.

While Gomez scored four in the 6-0 rout of Barnsley, Watson weighed in with three assists.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (2 Goals)
Ecuador M. Caicedo (2 Goals)
Brazil Joao Pedro (2 Goals)
Argentina E. Fernandez (2 Goals)
England T. Chalobah (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay D. Gomez (5 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Joao Pedro (3 Assists)
Best assists
France G. Rutter (1 Assists)
Gambia Y. Minteh (1 Assists)
Japan K. Mitoma (1 Assists)

Chelsea and Brighton Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Brighton
Brighton
40%
Wins
20%
40%
Draw
40%
20%
Losses
40%
3
Total goals per match
2.8
2
Goals scored per match
1.2
1
Goals conceded per match
1.6
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
Under 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sheet
0%

Chelsea - Brighton Key Points

  1. All the last five matches between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Three of Chelsea’s last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
  3. Both teams scored in five of Chelsea’ last six matches.
  4. Each of Brighton’s last three league matches had over 2.5 goals.
  5. Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last five league matches.
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Our Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction

These sides haven't been short of goals this season, while at the same time they haven't managed a lot of clean sheets. This could be another case of a goal fest. At least three goals were scored in their last five meetings as well, with no team keeping a clean sheet.

Chelsea have failed to score in just one of their matches this season, the draw with Crystal Palace. The same applies to Brighton in the league so far; they only failed to score in the loss to Everton. With such stats, our prediction for Chelsea v Brighton is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

 
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Chelsea vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions

Chelsea to win

Odds 1.75

The last three times Brighton visited Stamford Bridge, they suffered defeat. The Seagulls will once again find Chelsea in fine form at home. The Blues have not tasted defeat in their last 12 home matches in the Premier League. Meanwhile, this season Brighton have already lost their first two away league matches, and this could follow suit. Our second prediction for this match is for Chelsea to win.

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Chelsea vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions

The Chelsea v Brighton match will be played on Saturday, 27 September.

The Chelsea v Brighton match will be staged at Stamford Bridge, London.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction
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