Chapecoense vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
22/07/2026 20:30
Flamengo

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and Flamengo to win

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Chapecoense’s troubled return to the Brazilian Serie A looks set to continue when they face off with champions Flamengo next. Contrasting seasons so far have Chapecoense bottom of the standings and Flamengo second. The visitors have been dominant against Chapecoense lately, and this prediction tips them to win.

Chapecoense’s story of their Serie A return has been one of an inconsistent, shambolic campaign. After 18 matches in the league, they have only managed nine points.

Those came courtesy of one win and six draws. Their 11 defeats are the most by any team in Serie A this season. The home team is coming off a 2-0 loss to Bahia, their fourth straight loss in the league.

Chapecoense’s matches have produced an average of 2.8 league goals so far.

Flamengo takes on the team with the most porous back line in Serie A this season. The visitors are the second-highest scorers in the league and also hold the second-best defence (31:16).

Such are the numbers that place them second, seven points adrift of leaders Palmeiras. Flamengo have a game in hand and will hope it helps them close in as they look to successfully defend their title.

In the last five meetings between these teams, Flamengo are unbeaten, having posted four wins in the process. The latest of them, however, ended in a 2-2 draw way back in 2021. 

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Chapecoense v Flamengo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
8.2 4.9 1.39
1xbet
9.14 4.85 1.4
Melbet
9 4.76 1.37
Betwinner
9 4.82 1.36
22bet
8.9 4.74 1.37
Check all Chapecoense vs Flamengo odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Chapecoense and Flamengo?

Our prediction for the Chapecoense vs Flamengo match is: over 2.5 goals and Flamengo to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/07/2026 between Chapecoense and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.1% for a win of Chapecoense against Flamengo with odds of 9.14 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chapecoense vs Flamengo is 21.32% with odds of 4.9 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 52.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Chapecoense with odds of 1.49 at Betsson.

Chapecoense - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:

Chapecoense Flamengo Prediction Probability Odds
Flamengo wins 52.58% 1.49 at Betsson
Over 2.5 goals 59.59% 1.98 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Flamengo 28.17% 4.2 at BC Game

Chapecoense vs Flamengo Form

Chapecoense and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Flamengo
54 26 16 6 4 +30
20 Chapecoense
17 25 3 8 14 -23

Chapecoense and Flamengo Last Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense Last matches
D L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  0
Chapecoense

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gremio
1 :  2
Chapecoense

7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
3 :  0
Avai

3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Avai
3 :  0
Chapecoense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Chapecoense

27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
2 :  2
Gremio Novorizontino SP
W L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
3 :  0
Avai

27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
2 :  2
Gremio Novorizontino SP

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
2 :  3
Remo

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Chapecoense
2 :  0
Botafogo

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  2
Bragantino

29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
2 :  1
America Mineiro
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  0
Chapecoense

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gremio
1 :  2
Chapecoense

3 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Avai
3 :  0
Chapecoense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Chapecoense

24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Chapecoense

20 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Gremio Novorizontino SP
0 :  2
Chapecoense
Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Flamengo
4 :  2
Club Olimpia

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lausanne-Sport
0 :  2
Flamengo

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  2
Flamengo

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Coritiba

26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
3 :  0
Cusco FC
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Flamengo
4 :  2
Club Olimpia

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Coritiba

26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
3 :  0
Cusco FC

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  3
Palmeiras

20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  0
Estudiantes de La Plata

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  2
Vasco Da Gama
W L D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lausanne-Sport
0 :  2
Flamengo

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  2
Flamengo

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  1
Flamengo

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
2 :  0
Flamengo

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
0 :  1
Flamengo

Chapecoense vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chapecoense

17 %

Draw

17 %

Flamengo

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

8 Nov 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
2 :  2
Flamengo

11 Jul 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
Chapecoense

6 Oct 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  1
Flamengo

8 Sept 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Chapecoense

13 May 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
3 :  2
Flamengo

15 Oct 2017 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  1
Flamengo
Chapecoense vs Flamengo Prediction

Chapecoense against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11

Chapecoense

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

30
M. Palhares Guimaraes
26
E. Souza Da Cruz
15
R. Thyere
3
Doma
91
B. Pacheco
19
David Antunes
27
Camilo
17
V. Balieiro
10
G. Augusto
7
Marcinho
11
Y. Bolasie
9
Pedro
27
B. Pinto
16
S. Lino
19
G. Plata
21
Jorginho
5
E. Pulgar
6
A. Lucas
4
L. Pereira
44
Vitao
22
Emerson
1
A. Rossi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Flamengo

Substitutes

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Goalkeeper

R. Santos

W. Pradeiczuk

Defender

M. da Silva Santos

Bruno Leonardo

Mancha

Kauan

Midfielder

R. Ricoldi

Marcinho 80'

B. dos Santos

V. Balieiro 59'

J. Ferreira Leite

Forward

N. Pessoa

Y. Bolasie 69'

Kassio

G. Augusto 69'

Enio

David Antunes 59'

Flamengo
Flamengo
Goalkeeper

Andrew

D. Alves

Defender

Danilo

L. Pereira 80'

Alex Sandro

A. Lucas 69'

V. Joao

G. Varela

Midfielder

W. Yan

Evertton

Jorginho 69'

S. Niguez

G. de Arrascaeta

B. Pinto 68'

Forward

Lorran

G. Plata 33'

Everton

Missing players

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Forward

K. Ramirez

Flamengo
Flamengo
Midfielder

L. Paqueta

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chapecoense
CD Huachipato Flamengo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Marcinho (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Pedro (15 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil G. Augusto (5 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil S. Lino (7 Assists)

Chapecoense - Flamengo Key Points

  1. Chapecoense lost all of their last four league matches.
  2. Flamengo are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Chapecoense.
  3. Four of these teams’ last five meetings produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. Flamengo have won three of their last four competitive games.
  5. Chapecoense have lost the most matches in the league this season.
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Our Chapecoense vs Flamengo Prediction

Title contenders Flamengo look set for a routine win when they travel to Chapecoense for their next match. In their last five meetings with Chapecoense, the visitors are unbeaten, with four wins. They have warmed up well for this encounter, winning three of their last four matches.

On the other hand, Chapecoense are struggling and look destined for a return to the second tier. As this fixture has also been high-scoring, our prediction for Chapecoense v Flamengo is for over 2.5 goals and Flamengo to win.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and Flamengo to win

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chapecoense Flamengo

Chapecoense vs Flamengo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Chapecoense wins 6.53 9.14 +40.0%
Draw 4.22 4.9 +16.1%
Flamengo wins 1.53 1.49 -2.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Flamengo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 67.1% (1.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.