Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid have an early chance to rise from their latest blow when they travel to Celta Vigo for a La Liga match. The only league game on Friday will have sixth-placed Celta welcoming their second-placed visitors. Read on for our prediction of this encounter.
Celta Vigo are coming off a five-match undefeated streak, which includes four straight wins. That run culminated in their 2-1 victory at Girona last week. They have found their rhythm at home as well.
Celta were winless at home in the first eight league games but have four wins in the latest five. Os Celestes only lost to Osasuna in that run, the same team that beat Real Madrid recently.
Real Madrid are still licking wounds from their latest defeat, which has left a huge hole in their title ambitions. Los Blancos are coming off a 1-0 home loss to Getafe.
That result was preceded by a 2-1 win against Benfica in the Champions League, but they’ve lost two straight in La Liga. Failure to earn a point from a possible six has seen them lose top spot to Barcelona.
Real Madrid lost the reverse fixture 2-0 at home and currently trail Barca by four points, having garnered 60. They are the best-performing away side, though, and will be confident of bouncing back here.
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Celta Vigo v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.35 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.17 | 3.28 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.32 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.35 | 2.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid match is: Celta Vigo or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2026 between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.15% for a win of Celta Vigo against Real Madrid with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid is 7.34% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo with odds of 2.35 at 888Starz.
Celta Vigo - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celta Vigo Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 52.15% | 3.35 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.4% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Celta Vigo | 22.02% | 7.5 at LSbet |
Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Form
Celta Vigo and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
6
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 |
Celta Vigo and Real Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
Celta Vigo against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderM. Fernandez
J. Rueda
C. Dominguez
A. Nunez
J. Aidoo
MidfielderH. Sotelo
H. Alvarez
J. El-Abdellaoui
M. Vecino
F. Lopez
I. Aspas
S. Mestre
A. Lunin
DefenderL. Fati Joao
D. Aguado
F. Garcia
D. Carvajal
MidfielderManuel Angel
C. Palacios
J. Cestero
ForwardG. Garcia
Missing players
P. Duran
D. Alaba
E. Militao
A. Carreras
D. Huijsen
MidfielderD. Ceballos
E. Camavinga
J. Bellingham
ForwardK. Mbappe
Rodrygo
Endrick
F. Mastantuono
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
B. Iglesias
(14 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
J. Rueda
(6 Assists)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
Celta Vigo - Real Madrid Key Points
- Real Madrid lost to Celta Vigo in the reverse fixture.
- Celta Vigo are unbeaten in five games, winning four.
- Real Madrid are on a two-game losing streak in La Liga.
- Celta Vigo are on four wins in five home league matches.
- Celta failed to win in five of their last nine games, drawing three.
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Our Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction
Celta Vigo’s confidence will have an extra boost as they come into this encounter with four straight wins. They haven't done a league double on Real Madrid since 1998/99, but they will be looking at that possibility here. However, save for their last four matches, Celta had gone winless in the preceding five, drawing three times.
Real Madrid will not be easy opponents, though they come here wounded. They are looking to challenge for the title, and we expect a fight, despite their recent lows. Our prediction for Celta Vigo v Real Madrid is for Celta Vigo or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celta Vigo Real Madrid
| Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 4.4 | 3.35 | -23.9% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.55 | -10.1% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.69 | 2.35 | +39.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Celta Vigo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 23.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.7% and is now 29.9% (7.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
