Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
This Top 14 Round 21 fixture sees Castres Olympique host defending champions Stade Toulousain on Saturday. Castres Olympique are eighth in the standings with 47 points, while Stade Toulousain are top with 71 points. Here is our prediction.
Castres Olympique finally ended their three-game losing streak in the French Rugby top flight with a 49–17 victory over the struggling Montauban. Xavier Sadourny’s side couldn't carry that momentum into Europe as they fell 49–41 to Northampton Saints in the Champions Cup Round 16.
Despite that setback, the Castres-based outfit enters Saturday’s contest on the front foot. They have won their last six Top 14 home matches against Stade Toulousain and hold a solid 7–0–3 across their 10 home fixtures in the competition this season.
Stade Toulousain are 12 points clear in the Top 14 standings after an impressive 15 wins from 20 games. However, the defending champions appear to be losing momentum in this run-in.
The Red and Blacks enter this clash still nursing the heartbreak of their 30–15 Champions Cup quarter-final loss against Bordeaux Begles last week. That result marked their fourth defeat in five away matches across all competitions.
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Castres Olympique v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.87 | 23 | 1.99 |
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1.83 | 18 | 2 |
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1.91 | 19 | 1.91 |
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1.88 | 20 | 1.93 |
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|
1.88 | 20 | 1.93 |
|
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Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Form
Castres Olympique and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 26 | 18 | 0 | 8 | +364 |
|
10
|
54 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 15 | -91 |
Castres Olympique and Stade Toulousain Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
3 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
9 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
3 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
12 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
26 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5 Oct 2024 - Top 14
2 Mar 2024 - Top 14
18 Nov 2023 - Top 14
25 Mar 2023 - Top 14
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Substitutes
Castres Olympique - Stade Toulousain Key Points
- Castres Olympique have won four of their last five Top 14 home matches.
- Castres Olympique have won seven of their 10 Top 14 home matches this season.
- Stade Toulousain have lost four of their last five away matches across all competitions.
- Stade Toulousain have lost their last six trips to face Castres Olympique.
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Our Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
Stade Toulousain have lost their momentum in recent road trips and are set for another tough away test at Stade Pierre-Fabre on Saturday. The defending champions also face an even sterner challenge of overturning a six-match losing streak in recent Top 14 trips to face Castres Olympique.
Meanwhile, Castres Olympique remain a formidable home opposition in the French top flight. They have won seven of their 10 home fixtures in the competition this season and will look to sustain that momentum. Our Castres Olympique vs Stade Toulousain prediction: Castres Olympique wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
