Castres Olympique vs Stade Rochelais Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28/02/2026 15:00
Stade Rochelais

Prediction :

 

Castres wins on a -8 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

Ninth placed Castres are still hopeful of making it into the Top 14 end-of-season play-offs. They will aim for a tenth league win of the season when hosting 11th placed Stade Rochelais. Read our match prediction.

Castres are only four points behind the final play-off position with nine games of the main season to play. They have won six home league games this season with a couple of defeats. Castres need to bounce back from a loss at Bordeaux Begles last weekend.

That loss ended a run of three successive wins for Castres. Four of their last five home games have been won, the only loss was inflicted by Bath in the Champions Cup. Their last three home league games have all been won since being beaten by Bordeaux.

Stade Rochelais are two places and four points below their opponents. They have won seven league matches this season but only one of their victories has come on their travels with seven defeats.

They badly need a win this weekend because each of their last five games has been lost. They probably didn't expect such a run as their last win in January was by 66-0 at home to RC Toulon. Their last six away games in all competitions have been lost.

We tip Castres to win on a -8 handicap.

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Castres Olympique v Stade Rochelais Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.3 20 3.99
Betwinner
1.3 20 3.99
Bet365
1.22 26 4.33
Roobet
1.24 20 3.9
BC Game
1.24 20 3.9
Check all Castres Olympique vs Stade Rochelais odds

Castres Olympique vs Stade Rochelais Form

Castres Olympique and Stade Rochelais's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Stade Rochelais
68 25 14 0 11 +185
11 Castres Olympique
50 25 10 0 15 -108

Castres Olympique and Stade Rochelais Last Matches

Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
57 :  32
Castres Olympique

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28 :  23
Clermont

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
10 :  13
Castres Olympique

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Munster
29 :  31
Castres Olympique

9 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
20 :  43
Bath Rugby

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28 :  23
Clermont

9 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
20 :  43
Bath Rugby

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
36 :  22
Lyon Ou

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
33 :  0
Edinburgh Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
23 :  7
USA Perpignan

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
26 :  28
Union Bordeaux Begles
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
57 :  32
Castres Olympique

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
10 :  13
Castres Olympique

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Munster
29 :  31
Castres Olympique

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
34 :  14
Castres Olympique
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  43
Montpellier Herault Rugby

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
24 :  44
Lyon Ou

25 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Clermont
32 :  27
Stade Rochelais

18 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
17 :  27
Harlequins FC

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Leinster
25 :  24
Stade Rochelais

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  43
Montpellier Herault Rugby

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
24 :  44
Lyon Ou

18 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
17 :  27
Harlequins FC

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

25 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Clermont
32 :  27
Stade Rochelais

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Leinster
25 :  24
Stade Rochelais

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

Castres Olympique vs Stade Rochelais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Castres Olympique

67 %

Draw

17 %

Stade Rochelais

17 %

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique

22 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
12 :  12
Castres Olympique

23 Nov 2024 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28 :  24
Stade Rochelais

20 Apr 2024 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
25 :  24
Stade Rochelais

29 Oct 2023 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
24 :  27
Castres Olympique

18 Feb 2023 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
17 :  32
Stade Rochelais

Players list

Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique
V. Karawalev B. Cope G. Ducat A. Azar T. Chabouni T. Durand A. Papali'i R. Baget Q. Walcker T. Staniforth P. Popelin S. Arata C. Ambadiang V. Botitu B. Delaporte
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
K. Fraindt N. Le Garrec U. Pacome C. Kante Samba U. Feao A. Kaddouri D. Niniashvili Q. Lespiaucq-Brettes D. Leyds L. Veivuke J. Nowell A. Hastoy P. Boudehent A. Seguret G. Alldritt

Substitutes

Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique
J. Fernandez F. Tukino P. Colonna L. Guerois M. Babillot L. Chilachava G. Maravat G. Palis
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
A. Kuntelia M. Haddad L. Andjisseramatchi S. Huchet N. Sutidze I. West T. Berjon J. Sclavi

Castres Olympique - Stade Rochelais Key Points

  1. Castres have won six home league games this season.
  2. Stade Rochelais have lost seven of their eight away league fixtures.
  3. Castres have won four of their last five home games.
  4. Stade Rochelais have lost their last five fixtures.
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Our Castres Olympique vs Stade Rochelais Prediction

Stade Rochelais are eight points behind the final play-off position but have no real relegation fears. They have lost their last five matches and if their play-off hopes can't stand many more defeats. The problem is their last six away league and cup games have all been lost.

Castres are still chasing a place in the play-offs but lost at Bordeaux last weekend. Their home form is much better with six league victories this season and one loss in five in all competitions. Our Castres Olympique v Stade Rochelais prediction is Castres Olympique wins on a -8 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Castres wins on a -8 handicap

 
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Castres Olympique vs Stade Rochelais Prediction