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Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open

ATP - ATP Japan Open

ATP 12 Norway
Casper Ruud
26/09/2025 03:15
ATP 56 Italy
Matteo Berrettini

Prediction :

 

Ruud to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fourth seed Casper Ruud will face off with the unseeded Matteo Berrettini in the second round at the Japan Open. This is their second meeting of the season, and the winner will take on Aleksandar Vukic or Daniel Altmaier in the quarter-finals. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Matteo Berrettini, back in Tokyo for a second consecutive season, defeated Jaume Munar in straight sets in the first round. The win snapped a run of three successive defeats.

Berrettini, who has dropped to 58th in the live ranking, has struggled in 2025, with injuries playing a big part. He has compiled a 14-12 record and has yet to progress past the quarter-finals of any event.

Casper Ruud had to battle from a first-set loss to win his opening-round tie. Arriving in Tokyo for a fourth appearance, the Norwegian faced off with the wildcard and crowd favourite Shintaro Mochizuki.

After a back-and-forth opening set, Ruud was a more assured version of himself in the second and third sets and lost just two games.

The former world number two is seeking a strong end to the year to force his way back into the ATP’s top 10. Currently in 12th place, Ruud has compiled a 31-12 record and defeated Berrettini in Rome back in May.

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The Best Betting Odds for Casper Ruud v Matteo Berrettini Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.67 2.2
William Hill
1.67 2.2
Betway
1.73 2.1
Ladbrokes
1.7 2.1
Unibet
1.72 2.12
Check all Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini odds
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Who will win the Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini match is: Ruud to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini game on 26/09/2025 of the current ATP Japan Open season:

  • Casper Ruud has a 55.42% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
  • Matteo Berrettini has a 44.58% probability of winning facing Casper Ruud ⭐ with odds of 2.2 at Bet365.

Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Casper Ruud has a 55.42 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Casper Ruud55.42 %
Matteo Berrettini44.58 %

Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Form

Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches

Casper Ruud Last matches
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

25 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  1
Shintaro Mochizuki

19 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Raphael Collignon
3 :  2
Casper Ruud

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Sebastian Ofner
0 :  3
Casper Ruud

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Casper Ruud
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Casper Ruud
Matteo Berrettini Last matches
L W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

23 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Jaume Munar
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

18 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Dalibor Svrcina

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  3
Kamil Majchrzak

12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Berrettini
abort
Casper Ruud

10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
abort
Matteo Berrettini

Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Casper Ruud

67 %

Matteo Berrettini

33 %

12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Berrettini
- :  -
Casper Ruud

2 Jan 2023 - United Cup

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

6 Sep 2022 - ATP US Open

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  3
Casper Ruud

24 Jul 2022 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Casper Ruud
2 :  1
Matteo Berrettini

8 May 2021 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

19 Sep 2020 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Berrettini
1 :  2
Casper Ruud
Compare Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini with our comparison tool.

Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini Key Points

  1. Ruud has defeated Berrettini five times previously.
  2. Five of Berrettini’s last eight fixtures have ended in defeat.
  3. Ruud has won 10 of 16 hard-court duels this year.
  4. Berrettini has been defeated 12 times in 2025.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Our prediction for Matteo Berrettini v Casper Ruud is for Ruud to win in three sets. Ruud and Berrettini have struggled with their form in recent weeks, which makes for an interesting battle. The Norwegian, however, has fared a bit better than his Italian opponent and arrives having won his last two matches.

Coupling this with Ruud’s head-to-head advantage in this fixture has us convinced of a win for the Norwegian. Ruud has won five times previously against Berrettini, with his most recent victory coming back in May.

Prediction :

 

Ruud to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
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