ATP - ATP Finals
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz meets Taylor Fritz and both players won their opening ATP Finals group match. Alcaraz will want to repeat the win he had over his American opponent in the recent Tokyo final. Time for our match prediction.
Alcaraz was in good form in his opening match in this indoor hard court tournament in Turin, Italy. The second seed beat Alex de Minaur in straight sets. A tie-break was needed in the opening set but the Spaniard only dropped two games in the second.
His final match in this group will be against Lorenzo Musetti, who lost to Fritz on Monday afternoon. His recent loss in the Paris Masters second round ended a run of nine successive singles finals.
He leads Fritz 3-1 on hard courts, though they are level indoors at 1-1. Fritz will want to recapture the form that saw him beat Alcaraz in this year's Laver Cup. He did show improved form when beating Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets in his opening match.
Before that victory he had lost three of his five previous matches. Fritz was the losing finalist in this tournament last year. After playing Alcaraz, his final group match will be against Alex de Minaur.
We tip Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Carlos Alcaraz v Taylor Fritz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.22 | 4.2 |
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1.22 | 4.25 |
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1.2 | 4.2 |
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1.23 | 4.5 |
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz match is: Alcaraz wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz game on 11/11/2025 of the current ATP Finals season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 73.96% chance to win against Taylor Fritz according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
- Taylor Fritz has a 26.04% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 73.96 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 73.96 % |
| Taylor Fritz | 26.04 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
30 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
29 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
22 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
30 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
20 Sept 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
22 Sept 2024 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
30 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami
Carlos Alcaraz - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Alcaraz has reached the final in nine of his previous ten tournaments.
- Alcaraz recently beat Fritz in the Tokyo final.
- Alcaraz has only lost six of his 41 hard court matches played this year.
- All three of the hard court wins Alcaraz has had over Fritz were won in straight sets.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz will be going all out this week to end his season in style. Winning all three of his round-robin group matches will mean he'll return to the world number one ranking. He's a third of the way there after a good win on Sunday afternoon over Alex de Minaur.
Taylor Fritz beat Alcaraz in the Laver Cup but was then beaten by the Spaniard in the Tokyo final. His form has been patchy recently but he looked good against Musetti on Monday. This is tougher and our Carlos Alcaraz v Taylor Fritz prediction is Alcaraz wins in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Carlos Alcaraz or Taylor Fritz, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
