Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Finals
ATP - ATP Finals
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz can return to the top of the world rankings if he beats Lorenzo Musetti on Thursday evening. A win will mean Alcaraz has won all three of his group matches in these ATP Finals. Here's our match prediction.
Alcaraz was recently replaced by Jannik Sinner as world number one. His first job this week is to have a 100 per cent record in the group stages as that's what is needed to guarantee ending this year top of the tree.
He's already two thirds of the way there. So far in this indoor hard court tournament that's being played in Turin, Italy, Alcaraz has beaten Alex de Minaur in straight sets and then came from a set down to beat Taylor Fritz.
In terms of qualifying for the semi-finals, Alcaraz needs to win one set in this match. He leads Musetti 7-1 in previous meetings and 2-0 on hard courts. Both the wins on this surface were achieved in straight sets with only ten games being dropped.
Lorenzo Musetti lost his opening match to Taylor Fritz but then defeated Alex de Minaur in three sets and is third in the group behind Alcaraz and Fritz. Only a win here will give him a chance of staying in the tournament.
We tip Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Carlos Alcaraz v Lorenzo Musetti Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.13 | 6 |
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1.12 | 6 |
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1.14 | 6.4 |
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1.12 | 6 |
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1.13 | 5.5 |
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Alcaraz wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 13/11/2025 of the current ATP Finals season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 73.91% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.14.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 26.09% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 6.4 at Unibet.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 73.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 73.91 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 26.09 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
9 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
30 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
8 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
6 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
1 Oct 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
4 Jun 2023 - ATP French Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Alcaraz has a 7-1 career record against Musetti.
- Both of the two hard court wins Alcaraz has had over Musetti were achieved in straight sets with only ten games lost.
- Musetti has lost two of his last three matches.
- Alcaraz has won 20 of his last 21 matches in singles tournaments, all on hard courts.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz is one win away from returning to the world's number one rankings. Winning all three of his ATP Finals group matches has been his target and the Spaniard has won his first two matches in Turin.
Lorenzo Musetti can still qualify for the semi-finals but will need to win this match. He's lost seven of his eight matches against Alcaraz and never taken a set off him in a hard court match. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Alcaraz wins in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!
When you place a bet on the match between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Carlos Alcaraz or Lorenzo Musetti, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
