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17 November 2023 - 08:30 

- Day 3

ATP - ATP Finals

ATP 3 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz
VS
ATP 4 Russia
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction :

Daniil Medvedev wins the match

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Finals

 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP Finals Prediction

Third seed Daniil Medvedev and second seed Carlos Alcaraz will on Friday battle in their final round-robin match at the ATP Finals. The two are competing in the Red Group where Medvedev currently sits top and Alcaraz third. Carlos Alcaraz earned his first victory in the championship last time out. He defeated Andrey Rublev in straight sets to bounce back from his opening round 2-1 loss to Alexander Zverev. Alcaraz now has to win here to give himself a chance at qualifying for the semifinals. The top two at the end of the group stage proceed to the next round. Alcaraz has struggled to get going on indoor hard courts this season. He has managed only one win in three outings. But as he has defeated Medvedev twice this season, he will be confident of getting the job done here.

Daniil Medvedev has also defeated Alcaraz twice in their four previous meetings. He won the last time they met, which was in the semifinals at the US Open two months ago. The 2020 ATP Finals champion will be confident of taking the lead in this series as he has dominated on indoor hard courts. Medvedev has won 11 of the 13 matches he has played on the surface. This has resulted in one title and one runner-up finish. The Russian has won both his matches in Turin and has done so without dropping a set. Rublev was defeated in the first round then Zverev last time out. Medvedev and Alcaraz are the two players to have won the most number of matches in 2023. This is therefore bound to be a cracker of a match with Medvedev probably relinquishing his first set of the tournament.

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The Best Betting Odds for Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 2.3
NetBet
1.65 2.25
Check all Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev odds
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev game on 11/17/23 of the current ATP Finals season:

  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 53.3% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to NetBet ⭐ with the odds of 1.65.
  • Daniil Medvedev has a 46.7% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 53.3 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Carlos Alcaraz53.3 %
Daniil Medvedev46.7 %

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches

Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

13 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

31 Oct 2023 - Paris, France

Roman Safiullin
2 :  0
Carlos Alcaraz

11 Oct 2023 - Shanghai, China

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

9 Oct 2023 - Shanghai, China

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Daniel Evans

7 Oct 2023 - Shanghai, China

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Gregoire Barrere
Daniil Medvedev Last matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alexander Zverev

13 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

1 Nov 2023 - Paris, France

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

29 Oct 2023 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Jannik Sinner

28 Oct 2023 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

27 Oct 2023 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov

Carlos Alcaraz against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)

Carlos Alcaraz

67 %

Daniil Medvedev

33 %

8 Sep 2023 - US Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

14 Jul 2023 - Wimbledon Qualification, England

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

19 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Carlos Alcaraz - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Medvedev has won seven of his last 10 matches
  2. Alcaraz has been defeated four times in his last 10 outings
  3. Medvedev has defeated Alcaraz twice in their four previous meetings
  4. Medvedev has claimed 11 victories in 13 outings on indoor hard courts
  5. Alcaraz has lost two of the three matches he has played on indoor hard courts this year
Up to $200 to bet on Carlos Alcaraz - Daniil Medvedev! 

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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Our prediction for Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev is for Medvedev to win. Medvedev has again been outstanding on indoor hard courts this season whereas Alcaraz hasn’t been able to get going on the surface. Considering he has also won twice before against his soon-to-be opponent, we give him the nod to come away with the win here.

Prediction :

Daniil Medvedev wins the match

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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