Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Barcelona
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Not since 2023 has a Spanish player won the Barcelona Open. Wild card Rafael Jodar is the only remaining Spanish player in this outdoor clay court tournament. He faces seventh seed Cameron Norrie in the last eight. Read our match prediction below.
The semi-final opponent for the winner will be either second seed Lorenzo Musetti or ninth-seeded Arthur Fils.
Rafael Jodar has already won one ATP Tour clay court title this year with victory in Marrakech. The 19-year-old has won all seven of his matches played on this surface in 2026 and 15 of his last 16 since 2024. Wins this week have come against Jaume Munar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli for the loss of only nine games.
These two players met on a hard court earlier this year with Jodar winning for the loss of five games.
The Spaniard is up to a career-high 47th in the live rankings. That's 23 places below Norrie but he is just ahead of him in the ATP Live Race.
Cameron Norrie is playing in his fourth quarter-final in this tournament. He has won three of his four clay court matches this year. So far this week, he's beaten Stan Wawrinka and Nathan Quinn, needing three sets to win both matches.
We tip Jodar to win set one and the match.
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Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.3 | 1.33 |
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3.19 | 1.35 |
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3.4 | 1.33 |
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3.2 | 1.31 |
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3.25 | 1.31 |
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Who will win the Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar match is: Rafael Jodar wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar game on 17/04/2026 of the current ATP Barcelona season:
- Cameron Norrie has a 26.95% chance to win against Rafael Jodar according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 3.5.
- Rafael Jodar has a 73.05% probability of winning facing Cameron Norrie ⭐ with odds of 1.35 at Betwinner.
Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Cameron Norrie has a 26.95 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | 26.95 % |
| Rafael Jodar | 73.05 % |
Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Form
Cameron Norrie and Rafael Jodar Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
12 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
5 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
4 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Jodar has won one ATP Tour clay court title this year.
- On all tours, Jodar has only lost one of his last 16 clay court matches.
- In the ATP Live Race, Jodar is seven places above Norrie.
- Jodar has won set one and the match in all of his 25 victories this year.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
Rafael Jodar is the latest Spanish player to start climbing the tennis rankings. The 19-year-old is up to a career-high 47th and unbeaten on clay courts this year. The Marrakech champion is in top form and has only lost 17 games in his last four victories.
Earlier this year, he beat Norrie in straight sets in Acapulco. The British player has a good record in this tournament but has lost his three previous quarter-finals. Our Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar prediction is Rafael Jodar wins set one and match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.