Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Tottenham take a trip to Turf Moor for a tricky tussle against Burnley on Matchday 23 in the Premier League this Saturday afternoon. The Clarets come into this clash second-bottom in the league standings, while the Lilywhites are in 14th place after 22 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Burnley are running out of time to secure top-flight survival, as they enter this match eight points behind Nottingham Forest, the first side above the dotted line. However, the Clarets have shown that they will not go down without a fight, having earned unlikely points at Old Trafford and Anfield in the last few weeks.
While the pressure on Thomas Frank was eased in midweek when Spurs saw off Borussia Dortmund in the UCL, that could very quickly change if his side suffer defeat to Scott Parker’s charges this weekend. Three points hold massive significance for both these sides, albeit for very different reasons - let’s get into the key stats!
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Burnley v Tottenham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.45 | 3.4 | 2.18 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.38 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.62 | 3.34 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Tottenham match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Burnley and Tottenham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.11% for a win of Burnley against Tottenham with odds of 4.08 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Tottenham is 30.34% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Tottenham vs Burnley with odds of 2.2 at LSbet.
Burnley - Tottenham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Tottenham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 40.55% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.02% | 2.17 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Tottenham/Tottenham | 15.36% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Tottenham Form
Burnley and Tottenham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Tottenham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Burnley vs Tottenham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
5 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
2 Sept 2023 - Premier League
15 May 2022 - Premier League
23 Feb 2022 - Premier League
Burnley - Tottenham: Form Analysis
Burnley battled the odds to earn a valuable point against a stuttering Liverpool last weekend. They are now unbeaten in three games across all competitions, which includes defeating Millwall in the FA Cup third round.
However, the Clarets are winless in their last 13 league games since the start of November against basement club Wolves (D4 L9), and have only managed a single clean sheet during this period.
At home, Parker’s side have only picked up two points from their last seven league matches, while their only wins at this venue this season came against fellow newly-promoted sides Leeds and Sunderland.
Burnley have scored the joint-fewest home goals in the EPL this season (10)!
Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur will be hoping to avoid losing to a team in the drop zone for a second week in succession here after suffering a 2-1 defeat to West Ham United at home last weekend.
That result marked the Lilywhites’ third league defeat in a row and fifth Prem match without victory (D2 L3). They’ve only beaten Crystal Palace in their last eight league games since December 28.
The visitors’ last away game ended in a 3-2 loss to Bournemouth earlier this month, but they still have the second-best away record in the division with 18 points (W5 D3 L3). Only Arsenal have earned more on their league travels (21).
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Burnley against Tottenham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderO. Sonne
H. Ekdal
MidfielderH. Mejbri
J. Laurent
A. Barnes
L. Foster
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
A. Kinsky
DefenderR. Dragusin
D. Udogie
J. Byfield
MidfielderA. Gray
D. Scarlett
M. Tel
R. Kolo Muani
L. Williams-Barnet
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Worrall
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
B. Davies
MidfielderJ. Maddison
J. Palhinha
R. Bentancur
D. Kulusevski
M. Kudus
L. Bergvall
ForwardRicharlison
Burnley & Tottenham Squad Analysis
Marcus Edwards scored the all-important goal at Anfield last week - his first-ever in the Premier League - and he will be hoping to make an impact in this one against the side he spent 13 years with between 2007 and 2019.
Armando Broja has started the Clarets’ last five games but has not scored in that period, which could see Parker opt to recall Lyle Foster to the starting lineup to provide a greater physical presence in attack.
The hosts could be missing seven players for this match due to injury, including Mike Tresor, Zian Flemming, Joe Worrall, Josh Cullen, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts and Zeki Amdouni.
No team has scored more goals this season via defenders than Spurs (7)!
Cristian Romero was the latest Lilywhites defender to get on the scoresheet, doing so in the loss to the Hammers last weekend, while he also netted the opener in the UCL victory against BVB in midweek.
Following a lengthy period on the sidelines through injury, Dominik Solanke got his first start of the campaign on Wednesday night, and he will likely get the nod to start his first EPL match of the season in this one.
The victory over Dortmund came at a cost though for Spurs, with Lucas Bergvall sustaining an ankle injury that could keep him sidelined for three months. He adds to an already lengthy absentee list for the visitors, which features as many as eight players.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Tottenham
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
Richarlison
(11 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
M. Kudus
(5 Assists)
,
X. Simons
(5 Assists)
Burnley - Tottenham Key Points
- Seven of Burnley’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Burnley have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Burnley are averaging 1.9 goals conceded per game in the EPL this season.
- Four of Spurs’ last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Spurs have conceded two or more goals in five of their last seven away matches.
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Our Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction
While Burnley are still among the favourites to suffer the drop this season, they have continued to show excellent fighting spirit, as shown in their last two league games when they held Liverpool and Man United to score draws.
Tottenham Hotspur got a much-needed victory in the Champions League in midweek, but their league form has dipped significantly, highlighted by their loss to West Ham last week. They need a few more good performances before we can start backing them with any real confidence. Our Burnley vs Tottenham prediction is BTTS.
Burnley vs Tottenham Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5
Four of Burnley’s last five home games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while five of Spurs’ last seven away matches have delivered 3+ goals. Additionally, over 2.5 goals were scored in the last two matches between these sides.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Tottenham
| Burnley vs Tottenham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 4.66 | 4.08 | -12.4% |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.5 | +0.6% |
| Tottenham wins | 1.81 | 2.2 | +21.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Tottenham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.2% and is now 45.5% (-9.8%)
Burnley vs Tottenham - FAQs
The Premier League match between Burnley and Tottenham will take place on January 24 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Tottenham will be played at Turf Moor in Burnley.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Tottenham will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
