Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to cement their second spot in the Bundesliga campaign on matchday 29 when they face a Bayer Leverkusen side that’s desperate to break into the top four spots. This match on Saturday between the second-placed Prussians and the sixth-placed ‘Factory XI’ comes with our prediction of a home win and BTTS.
Leverkusen have 49 points (W14, D7, L7) and start this round four points outside the top four. Dortmund’s 64 points (W19, D7, L2) are nine points behind leaders Bayern Munich and 11 points above third.
Dortmund won 2-0 away at Stuttgart last weekend to continue their impressive push as the nearest challengers for Bayern. That was the fourth successive league win for the Prussians, who have now won 10 of their last 12 Bundesliga games (D1, L1).
Even at home, Dortmund have won eight of their last nine league matches, with the only blemish coming against Bayern (3-2 defeat).
Leverkusen thrashed Wolfsburg 6-3 at home last weekend to end a five-game winless run in all competitions (D4, L1). That sequence has seen them exit the Champions League, so the focus now is on pushing for a top four finish.
The ‘Factory XI’ haven’t won consecutive league games since February, and worryingly, they have just one win from their last five Bundesliga trips (D3, L1).
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Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.02 | 3.9 | 3.45 |
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1.98 | 3.82 | 3.46 |
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1.98 | 3.82 | 3.46 |
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2 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
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1.97 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Borussia Dortmund wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.73% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.06 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen is 21.35% with odds of 4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.59 at 888Starz.
Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 49.73% | 2.06 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.21% | 1.55 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 22.32% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderA. Kabar
L. Reggiani
N. Sule
MidfielderC. Chukwuemeka
S. Ozcan
S. Inacio
M. Beier
M. Albert
J. Blaswich
DefenderT. Oermann
L. Vazquez
M. Tillman
E. Fernandez
J. Hofmann
ForwardE. Poku
E. Ben Seghir
P. Schick
Missing players
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
F. Nmecha
K. Adeyemi
J. Quansah
ForwardM. Terrier
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Dortmund had 10 wins from their last 12 Bundesliga matches including four in a row.
- At home, Dortmund have won eight of their last nine league games.
- Seven of Leverkusen’s last ten league games saw both teams score goals.
- Leverkusen lost their last two Bundesliga matches against Dortmund.
- Both teams scored in the last five Bundesliga matches between these sides.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Time’s running out for Leverkusen, who are struggling to get back into the Bundesliga's top four. A four-point gap is bridgeable, but the recent form of the visitors is not something that inspires confidence. On the other hand, Dortmund are on the verge of confirming their second place, albeit they would want to keep pushing Bayern and wait for any mishaps from the leaders.
Going by the way these sides have been delivering results this season and the recent head-to-head history, our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen
| Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.95 | 2.06 | +5.6% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4 | -1.2% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 3.91 | 3.59 | -8.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 48.5% (-2.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
