Bologna vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia

Italy - Coppa Italia

Bologna
11/02/2026 15:00
Lazio

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Coppa Italia holders Bologna will play host to Lazio when the two meet in the last of the quarter-finals. The route to lifting this trophy isn’t easy; the winner here will get to face Atalanta in the semis. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Bologna have been on a decline in recent weeks and will come here with concerns about their Coppa Italia defence. Their last two matches were staged at home, and they lost both, most recently against Parma.

That 1-0 defeat was their third loss in five games, while they are winless in six at home, where only two were drawn. In four of their last six home matches, Bologna conceded 2+.

Lazio, who have suffered a lot on their visits to Bologna, will be happy to find their hosts in tatters. In their last visit here, Lazio were blanked 5-0, failing to score away to Bologna for the fifth straight time.

They lost four of their last six away matches in Bologna. Coming here on a three-match unbeaten run, they will be confident of shocking their hosts.

There will be a need for improvement though, after losing a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with Juventus last time out. A stoppage-time goal saved them from a similar occurrence in the earlier game, as they beat Genoa 3-2 in a game they led 2-0.

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Bologna v Lazio Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.17 3.1 3.65
Melbet
2.23 3.2 3.42
Betwinner
2.18 3.18 3.58
Bet365
2.15 3.1 3.5
Roobet
2.16 3.1 3.55
Check all Bologna vs Lazio odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Lazio?

Our prediction for the Bologna vs Lazio match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2026 between Bologna and Lazio in Coppa Italia :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.35% for a win of Bologna against Lazio with odds of 2.23 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Lazio is 35.04% with odds of 3.2 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Bologna with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.

Bologna - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:

Bologna Lazio Prediction Probability Odds
Lazio wins 40.6% 3.75 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 54.53% 2.19 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio 22.52% 8.25 at LSbet

Bologna vs Lazio Form

Bologna and Lazio Last Matches

Bologna
Bologna Last matches
L D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
0 :  3
Bologna

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
2 :  2
Celtic

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina
D L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
2 :  2
Celtic

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Sassuolo
L L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
0 :  3
Bologna

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

15 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  3
Bologna

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Bologna

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna
Lazio
Lazio Last matches
D W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina
D D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna
L W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Bologna vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bologna

50 %

Draw

33 %

Lazio

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
5 :  0
Lazio

24 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  0
Bologna

18 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Bologna

3 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Lazio

11 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  0
Lazio
Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

Bologna against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11

Bologna

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
L. Skorupski
20
N. Zortea
41
M. Vitik
26
J. Lucumi
33
J. Miranda
6
N. Moro
19
L. Ferguson
7
R. Orsolini
21
J. Odgaard
28
N. Cambiaghi
9
S. Castro
9
Pedro
27
D. Maldini
18
G. Isaksen
24
K. Taylor
6
N. Rovella
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
3
L. Pellegrini
13
A. Romagnoli
34
M. Gila
77
A. Marusic
94
I. Provedel

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lazio

Substitutes

Bologna
Bologna
Goalkeeper

M. Pessina

F. Ravaglia

Defender

J. Mario

E. Helland

J. Lucumi 80'

N. Casale

Midfielder

S. Sohm

J. Odgaard 70'

T. Pobega

R. Freuler

N. Moro 61'

Forward

T. Dallinga

S. Castro 80'

J. Rowe

F. Bernardeschi

N. Cambiaghi 70'

B. Dominguez

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

E. Motta

A. Furlanetto

Defender

N. Tavares

L. Pellegrini 80'

O. Provstgaard

Patric

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

R. Belahyane

A. Przyborek

T. Basic

D. Cataldi

N. Rovella 61'

Forward

B. Dia

D. Maldini 61'

M. Cancellieri

G. Isaksen 80'

P. Ratkov

T. Noslin

Pedro 45'

Missing players

Bologna
Bologna
Lazio
Lazio
Defender

S. Gigot

Forward

M. Zaccagni

Bologna - Lazio Key Points

  1. 13 goals were scored in Bologna’s last five home games.
  2. On average, 2.6 goals were scored in Lazio’s last five matches.
  3. Four of Bologna’s last five matches had at least three goals scored.
  4. In the last five meetings between these teams, 14 goals were scored.
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Our Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

The last time Lazio played away to Bologna, they ended up 5-0 losers. It was the third time in five visits that they conceded 2+ on their visits to Bologna, and another high-scoring match could be on the cards.

Three of Lazio’s last four matches produced at least three goals, with the Biancocelesti themselves scoring five times in their last two matches. Bologna have conceded three goals twice in their last four matches but scored two or more in three of their last five, giving the vibes of a high-scoring game. Our prediction for Bologna v Lazio is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Lazio

Bologna vs Lazio Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Bologna wins 2.45 2.23 -9.0%
Draw 3.26 3.2 -1.8%
Lazio wins 2.97 3.75 +26.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lazio is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 26.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 33.7% and is now 26.7% (-7.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.