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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
The South American World Cup qualifiers come to an end this week. Bolivia are eighth in the table and host second-placed Brazil in their final game. Can Bolivia keep their qualification hopes alive? Read our match prediction.
The top six qualify for the finals with the team in seventh going into the Inter-Confederation play-offs Bolivia are a point behind sixth-placed Venezuela who are home to Colombia (currently fifth) in their final match.
Bolivia have to get something from this game therefore and have so far won five of their qualifying matches with two draws and ten defeats. At home, they have had four wins but only earned one point in games against sides currently in the top four.
The reverse fixture ended in a 5-1 win for Brazil in their opening qualifier in September 2023. Brazil are in second place, ten points behind leaders Argentina but just three above sixth place with five of their 17 qualifiers being lost - four on the road.
Their most recent match saw the Brazilians beat Chile 3-0 at home. That extended their unbeaten run to three games since a 4-1 away loss to Argentina in March. Their last seven games against Bolivia have produced six wins and a draw, last losing in 2009.
We tip Brazil to win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bolivia v Brazil Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.3 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.3 | 2.15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bolivia and Brazil?
Our prediction for the Bolivia vs Brazil match is: Brazil to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Bolivia and Brazil in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.65% for a win of Bolivia against Brazil with odds of 3.82 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolivia vs Brazil is 33.4% with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Bolivia with odds of 2.25 at William Hill.
Bolivia - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolivia Brazil Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 35.96% | 2.25 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 51.24% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 38.54% | 1.91 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brazil | 13.71% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Bolivia vs Brazil Form
Bolivia and Brazil's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
|
7
|
20 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -18 |
Bolivia and Brazil Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
Bolivia vs Brazil Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Sept 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
9 Oct 2020 - World Cup
Players list
C. Lampe
DefenderL. Haquin
Y. Rocha
E. Morales
R. Fernandez
MidfielderG. Villamil
R. Matheus
H. Cuellar
Miguelito
ForwardM. Paniagua
C. Algaranaz
Alisson
DefenderF. Bruno
Marquinhos
C. Henrique
Alexsandro
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
Jean Lucas
L. Paqueta
ForwardJoao Pedro
Raphinha
Estevao
Substitutes
R. Banegas
G. Viscarra
DefenderD. Arroyo
J. Sagredo
Y. Rocha
L. Paz
MidfielderM. Villarroel
C. Melgar
D. Torrico
H. Vaca
H. Cuellar
C. Algaranaz
H. Souza
Bento
DefenderW. Franca
Marquinhos
D. Santos
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderA. Pereira
Jean Lucas
Joao Pedro
Estevao
G. Martinelli
Raphinha
Most goals and assists
Bolivia
Brazil
Miguelito
(7 Goals)
Raphinha
(4 Goals)
Bolivia - Brazil Key Points
- Bolivia haven't beaten Brazil in 16 years.
- Brazil's last seven games against Bolivia have seen them win six and draw the other.
- Brazil won the reverse fixture 5-1.
- Bolivia have lost ten of their qualifying matches.
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Our Bolivia vs Brazil Prediction
Bolivia are down in eighth place but could yet make it into the play-offs. They last qualified for the World Cup finals in 1994 but face a tough battle to stay in contention with this final home game against Brazil.
Their opponents are already in the finals and maintaining their record of never failing to qualify. It's not always been smooth progress but they were impressive in their last match and comfortably beat Bolivia 5-1 in the reverse fixture. Our Bolivia v Brazil prediction is Brazil to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bolivia Brazil
| Bolivia vs Brazil | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia wins | 3.4 | 3.7 | +8.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | 0% |
| Brazil wins | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brazil is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 47.6% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bolivia vs. Brazil game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bolivia and Brazil? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
