Club Bolivar vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Bolivar meets Sao Paulo in the first leg of their round of 16 tie in the Copa Sudamericana. Hosts Bolivar will be meeting a second Brazilian side in the knockouts, having eliminated Gremio in the last round. With four straight home wins, this prediction backs Bolivar to prevail in the first leg.
The high-altitude La Paz almost always favors Bolivar in continental home matches and we may see the same here. The hosts are coming off two straight wins in the last round and have done superbly at home.
They beat Gremio home and away with the home leg producing a 3-2 win. They registered a 3-2 win the last time they hosted this opponent, back in 2013.
Sao Paulo are coming here straight off their third defeat in four matches. They lost 2-1 to Gremio in the Brazilian Serie A and carry into this encounter a four-game winless run.
The visitors scored in each of their last three outings but those weren’t enough to guarantee them three points. They come into a knockout tie, hoping to gain the first leg advantage.
The Brazilians’ last win was recorded in the Copa Sudamericana, where they beat Boston River 2-0. However, that remains their only win in three matches in the competition.
The visitors have also been poor on their travels, failing to win any of their last 10 games, with seven defeats in there.
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Club Bolivar v SAO Paulo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.86 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.55 | 4.67 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.55 | 4.67 |
|
|
1.80 | 3.50 | 4.68 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.55 | 4.44 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Club Bolivar and SAO Paulo?
Our prediction for the Club Bolivar vs SAO Paulo match is: Bolivar wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/08/2026 between Club Bolivar and SAO Paulo in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.37% for a win of Club Bolivar against SAO Paulo with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Club Bolivar vs SAO Paulo is 18.6% with odds of 4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.03% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Club Bolivar with odds of 4.68 at Betwinner.
Club Bolivar - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Club Bolivar SAO Paulo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Club Bolivar wins | 67.37% | 3.80 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.41% | 2.21 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 78.57% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Club Bolivar | 35.12% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Club Bolivar vs SAO Paulo Form
Club Bolivar and SAO Paulo Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
5 Aug 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
2 Aug 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
30 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
26 Jul 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
23 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
26 Jul 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
23 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
13 May 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
2 Aug 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
30 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Bolivian Primera División
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Club Bolivar against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Méndez
DefenderL. Zabala
L. Paz
E. Freita Rivero
F. Mena Tellez
MidfielderD. Batallini
E. Vaca
C. Chaval Sejas Albis
J. Velasquez
ForwardB. Miranda
B. Arce
D. Romero
C. Coronel
DefenderL. Osorio
Sabino
Wendell
A. Buta
MidfielderCauly
D. Abelha
ForwardFerreira
A. Silva
P. dos Santos
Joao Victor
R. Francisco
Most goals and assists
Club Bolivar
SAO Paulo
D. Asprilla
(3 Goals)
Luciano
(3 Goals)
P. Rodriguez
(2 Assists)
J. Calleri
(2 Assists)
,
Artur
(2 Assists)
Club Bolivar - SAO Paulo Key Points
- Bolivar have won their last four home encounters.
- Bolivar won their last two Copa Sudamericana games.
- Sao Paulo are winless in their last four games, losing three.
- Bolivar have won six of their latest eight outings, losing once.
- Sao Paulo have failed to win any of their last 10 away matches, losing seven.
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Our Club Bolivar vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Sao Paulo haven’t had their best outings in recent times. The Brazilians are coming here winless in four games, having lost three times in the process. Things are even tougher on the road, and they’ve struggled particularly in continental matches.
Tricolor Paulista haven’t won any of their last 10 games on the road and that includes three Copa Sudamericana matches. On the flipside, Bolivar are coming off back-to-back wins against a Brazilian side and they’ve done better at home. Our prediction for Bolivar v Sao Paulo is that Bolivar wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Club Bolivar SAO Paulo
| Club Bolivar vs SAO Paulo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Bolivar wins | 1.78 | 3.80 | +113.5% |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.00 | -5.9% |
| SAO Paulo wins | 4.66 | 4.68 | +0.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Club Bolivar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 113.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 26.3% (-29.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
