Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica will aim to maintain their winning run in Liga Portugal when they welcome Casa Pia to the Estadio da Luz on matchday 11. This will be the seventh encounter between these two sides in the league, with Casa Pia coming out on top in their last match. Who will come out on top? Check out our match prediction!
Benfica suffered another setback in the UEFA Champions League (league phase), this time dropping points in a 1-0 home defeat against Bayer Leverkusen. This extended their losing streak to four matches, leaving them second-to-bottom in the league phase standings.
The Eagles now shift their focus to the league where they've established themselves as early title contenders. Occupying third place in the standings, they are also four points behind the top spot and have yet to suffer defeat in ten games.
In their recent match, Jose Mourinho's charges made it back-to-back wins in the league after thrashing Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-0 on the road.
Casa Pia have found it hard to hit their stride. The visitors come into this match winless in their last five league games. They dropped points from a winning position in just two of those outings.
The Geese's recent league game was a 5-3 home drubbing at the hands of Estrela Amadora. In unfamiliar territory, their performance has left much to be desired, losing two consecutive matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Casa Pia Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6 | 15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Casa Pia Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon match is: Benfica to score over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Casa Pia Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.23% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.22 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon is 12.95% with odds of 7.8 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 16 at Tonybet.
Benfica Lisbon - Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 57.23% | 1.22 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.67% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 36.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 28.16% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon Form
Benfica Lisbon and Casa Pia Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
35 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
|
15
|
13 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -13 |
Benfica Lisbon and Casa Pia Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
4 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
13 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal
Players list
A. Trubin
DefenderA. Dedic
A. Silva
T. Araujo
MidfielderS. Dahl
H. Araujo
G. Prestianni
L. Barreiro
F. Aursnes
ForwardF. Ivanovic
J. Rego
P. Sequeira
DefenderK. Prieto
J. Fonte
D. Sousa
G. Larrazabal
A. Geraldes
MidfielderR. Nhaga
T. Morais
ForwardJ. Livolant
D. Rocha Livramento
M. Sousa
Substitutes
S. Soares
DefenderR. Obrador
J. Wynder
MidfielderL. Barreiro
F. Ivanovic
A. Schjelderup
H. Araujo
G. Prestianni
J. Rego
D. Azevedo
DefenderJ. Goulart
MidfielderR. Nhaga
M. Sousa
I. Mohamed
ForwardD. Rocha Livramento
X. Severina
T. Morais
K. Prieto
Missing players
A. Bah
N. Otamendi
ForwardBruma
A. Conte
D. Tchamba
ForwardM. Svensson
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon
V. Pavlidis
(16 Goals)
J. Livolant
(3 Goals)
D. Lukebakio
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Dedic
(3 Assists)
, 
F. Aursnes
(3 Assists)
J. Livolant
(3 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Casa Pia Lisbon Key Points
- Benfica have scored more than 2.5 goals in each of their last two league games.
- Casa Pia have conceded 14 goals in their last five league games.
- Benfica have scored 12 goals in their last five home league games. That is 2.4 goals being averaged per game.
- Casa Pia have conceded more than 2.5 goals in their last two league games.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon Prediction
It's evident who the frontrunners are when it comes to the gap in class between Benfica and Casa Pia. Barring the former's defeat in the previous season, this is the perfect opportunity for them to exact revenge and extend their winning run in the league to three games.
This could easily turn out to be a one-sided affair, and Casa Pia's recent defeat in the league exposed some defensive lapses. Considering they are up against the league's best offensive side, another display is undoubtedly on the cards. Our Benfica vs Casa Pia prediction: Benfica to score over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Casa Pia Lisbon
| Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.15 | 1.13 | -1.7% |
| Draw | 7 | 7.5 | +7.1% |
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 12 | 15 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.0% and is now 88.5% (1.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Benfica Lisbon vs. Casa Pia Lisbon game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Benfica Lisbon and Casa Pia Lisbon when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Liga Portugal!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
