Belgium vs Ukraine Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Belgium have a two-goal deficit to cover as they host Ukraine in the second leg of the UEFA Nations League A/B playoffs on Sunday. This match at the Cegeka Arena in Genk between the hosting Red Devils and the visiting Blue and Yellow comes with our prediction of both teams scoring.
The winner of this tie will play in League A of the next Nations League edition, while the loser will play in League B. Belgium are on the edge of getting relegated after finishing third in Group A2 with four points, only goal difference saving them from automatic relegation.
The 3-1 loss in the first leg was Belgium’s fourth defeat in a row, although the previous three came by a single-goal margin. Two of those losses came at home, but three Nations League wins in a row prior to those give a ray of hope.
Ukraine bounced back from conceding first in the reverse leg and will hope to achieve promotion after finishing second in Group B1. With three wins and two draws from their last five matches, it is evident that the visitors are in fine form ahead of this trip.
They have been impressive on the road too, with two wins and a draw from their last four trips in this competition.
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The Best Betting Odds for Belgium v Ukraine Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.6 | 7.16 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.46 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and Ukraine?
Our prediction for the Belgium vs Ukraine match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/03/2025 between Belgium and Ukraine in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.39% for a win of Belgium against Ukraine with odds of 1.49 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs Ukraine is 17.95% with odds of 4.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Ukraine vs Belgium with odds of 7.16 at 1xbet.
Belgium - Ukraine Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belgium Ukraine Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 44.66% | 7.16 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.57% | 1.85 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.97 at Betsson |
| Half-time : Belgium / Full-time : Ukraine | 19.74% | 70 at Betsson |
Belgium vs Ukraine Form
Belgium and Ukraine Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Belgium vs Ukraine Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
Belgium against Ukraine Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Vandevoordt
T. Courtois
DefenderK. De Winter
J. Mokio
M. De Cuyper
B. Mechele
MidfielderB. Heynen
A. Saelemaekers
D. Lukebakio
L. Openda
C. De Ketelaere
M. Batshuayi
D. Riznyk
A. Trubin
DefenderV. Bondar
B. Mykhaylichenko
M. Shaparenko
Y. Nazaryna
O. Nazarenko
A. Yarmolenko
V. Buyalskiy
ForwardA. Dovbyk
V. Tsygankov
R. Yaremchuk
Most goals and assists
Belgium
Ukraine
R. Lukaku
(3 Goals)
V. Vanat
(2 Goals)
J. Doku
(2 Assists)
,
K. De Bruyne
(2 Assists)
V. Tsygankov
(2 Assists)
Belgium - Ukraine Key Points
- Belgium failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine Nations League matches.
- Seven of Belgium’s last eight home matches in this competition produced goals from both teams.
- In six of Ukraine’s last seven matches, both teams scored goals.
- Away from home, Ukraine’s last three Nations League matches saw both teams score goals.
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Our Belgium vs Ukraine Prediction
Ukraine’s stunning win in the first leg has given them a big advantage ahead of this trip. They can afford to lose by a one-goal margin and still progress. That is bad news for Belgium, whose recent form has been dire. They haven’t won a match since last September, losing five and drawing one game. The hosts have no option but to fight in this leg, and they are likely to push forward for goals. That opens up the door for an exciting game, and our Belgium vs Ukraine prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belgium Ukraine
| Belgium vs Ukraine | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 1.34 | 1.49 | +11.2% |
| Draw | 5.53 | 4.6 | -16.8% |
| Ukraine wins | 11.2 | 7.16 | -36.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ukraine is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 36.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 8.9% and is now 14.0% (5.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Belgium vs. Ukraine game!
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Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
