Union Bordeaux Begles vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
In a rematch of the 2024 and 2025 finals, sixth-placed Bordeaux Begles host table-toppers Stade Toulousain in this Top 14 Round 19 clash on Sunday at Stade Chaban-Delmas. Can Les Girondins overcome the Red and Blacks to boost their chances of qualifying for the playoffs? Here is our prediction for the match.
Bordeaux Bègles couldn't maintain momentum in their fairytale push for a top-six finish as they collapsed to a heavy defeat to third-placed Section Paloise last time out after back-to-back wins. Fly-half Axel Desperes' set-piece heroics proved decisive, condemning the two-time runners-up to a 39–17 defeat.
Yannick Bru's side are now only ahead of seventh-placed Racing 92 on points difference after the loss at Pau and will look to bounce back on Sunday with their playoff hopes at stake. They have won seven of their nine Top 14 home matches this season, six of which by emphatic margins.
Stade Toulousain thrashed Montauban 68–13 in their last outing to secure their fourth consecutive Top 14 win and extend their lead at the top of the table to 10 points. However, the defending champions have not impressed on the road. They have lost four of their last seven Top 14 away matches and suffered defeats in each of their last three trips to Stade Chaban-Delmas to face Bordeaux Begles.
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Union Bordeaux Begles v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.31 | 34 | 3.44 |
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1.41 | 21 | 2.93 |
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1.3 | 21 | 3.3 |
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1.38 | 20 | 3 |
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1.38 | 20 | 3 |
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Union Bordeaux Begles vs Stade Toulousain Form
Union Bordeaux Begles and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 25 | 18 | 0 | 7 | +375 |
|
7
|
68 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 11 | +106 |
Union Bordeaux Begles and Stade Toulousain Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
18 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
21 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
1 Mar 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
18 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Top 14
Union Bordeaux Begles vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
12 Oct 2025 - Top 14
28 Jun 2025 - Top 14
4 May 2025 - Champions Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
29 Sept 2024 - Top 14
28 Jun 2024 - Top 14
Players list
Substitutes
Union Bordeaux Begles - Stade Toulousain Key Points
- Bordeaux Begles have won seven of their nine Top 14 home matches this season, six of which by convincing margins.
- Bordeaux Begles have won their last two Top 14 home games against Stade Toulousain.
- Stade Toulousain have lost four of their last seven Top 14 away matches.
- Stade Toulousain have lost their last three away matches against Bordeaux Begles across all competitions.
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Our Union Bordeaux Begles vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
Bordeaux Begles will go all out for a win in this match to reignite their slender hopes of finishing in the playoff places. Les Girondins will also look to exact revenge, having lost the last two Top 14 finals at Stade Toulousain. They boast an intimidating home record in the French rugby top flight this season.
Meanwhile, Stade Toulousain's Top 14 away form this season is far from ideal and they have struggled for results in each of their last three away visits to Bordeaux Begles. Our Bordeaux Begles vs Stade Toulousain prediction is Bordeaux Begles –5.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
