Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
Bayern Munich and Leipzig look to bring their heavy scoring form to Allianz Arena on Wednesday when the sides meet in Munich in the DFB Pokal quarter-finals. This match between the Bavarians and the Red Bulls comes with our prediction of more than 3.5 goals.
The hosts are the record 20-time winners in this competition and edged out Union Berlin in the previous round. Leipzig have won this tournament two times in the past and defeated second-division side Magdeburg 3-1 in the previous round.
A 5-1 win at this venue over Hoffenheim on Sunday in the Bundesliga got Bayern back to winning ways after a 2-2 draw with Hamburger a weekend before.
The result also got them to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Augsburg in their last home game. The Bavarians have won three of their last four matches here and scored 15 goals in those victories.
Leipzig won 2-1 away at Koln to bounce back from no wins from their last two matches (D1, L1) prior to this round. They are still battling hard to remain in the top four of the Bundesliga but will view this tournament as a chance to surprise their hosts.
It will be a tough order for Leipzig, though, as they lost 5-1 and 6-0 in their two league matches against Bayern this season.
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Bayern Munich v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.24 | 7 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.7 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.85 | 10 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.6 | 8.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Leipzig match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2026 between Bayern Munich and Leipzig in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.11% for a win of Bayern Munich against Leipzig with odds of 1.29 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Leipzig is 21.31% with odds of 7.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Bayern Munich with odds of 10 at Betwinner.
Bayern Munich - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 60.11% | 1.29 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.02% | |
| Both Team To Score | 76.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich | 29.56% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Form
Bayern Munich and Leipzig Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Urbig
DefenderK. Min-jae
H. Ito
R. Guerreiro
MidfielderJ. Musiala
T. Bischof
K. Laimer
L. Karl
L. Goretzka
P. Gulacsi
DefenderE. Bitshiabu
B. Henrichs
M. Finkgrafe
MidfielderE. Banzuzi
B. Gruda
J. Bakayoko
C. Harder
T. Gomis
Missing players
A. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Leipzig
H. Kane
(10 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(4 Goals)
M. Olise
(3 Assists)
W. Orban
(2 Assists)
, 
D. Raum
(2 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Leipzig Key Points
- Fourteen of Bayern’s last 17 matches in all competitions produced over 3.5 goals.
- Six of Bayern’s last eight home matches in all competitions produced four or more goals.
- Five of Bayern’s last six DFB Pokal games saw at least four goals scored.
- Leipzig’s last four DFB Pokal matches, including all three this season, have produced four or more goals.
- Four of Leipzig’s last eight away competitive matches produced more than three goals.
- The last four matches between these sides produced six goals each time.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Prediction
Bayern Munich are the record 20-time champions in this competition, but haven’t won this since 2020. That should be enough motivation for the Bavarians, while Leipzig have more recent history, having won the title in 2022 and 2023. The Red Bulls have done well in the DFB Pokal competitions recently, but may struggle to contain Bayern here, with the Bundesliga leaders in great form.
The hosts have been in great scoring form at this venue and would be keen to continue that rate. That’s why our Bayern Munich vs Leipzig prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Leipzig
| Bayern Munich vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.36 | 1.29 | -5.1% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 7.6 | +44.8% |
| Leipzig wins | 7.5 | 10 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 77.5% (4.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Bayern Munich vs. Leipzig game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
