Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Barcelona will hope to keep in touch with leaders in the 2025-26 La Liga campaign as they host Real Sociedad on Sunday. This match at their temporary home of Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys for the second-placed Catalans against the 16th-placed La Real comes with our prediction of a home win with both teams scoring goals.
With 16 points from six matches (W5, D1), Barca are two points adrift of leaders Real Madrid ahead of this round. Sociedad’s five points (W1, D2, L3) put them only two points above the relegation zone before this weekend.
Barcelona came from a goal down to defeat Real Oviedo 3-1 away from home this week to continue their impressive start. They have now won six of their seven competitive matches this season, drawing the other.
Three of those wins have come in a row in the league, which included Barcelona winning both their home matches. The Catalans defeated Valencia and Getafe this season at home, scoring nine goals in total.
Sociedad won 1-0 at home against Mallorca this week to end their wait for a victory this season. They went five matches without a win before that (D2, L3), including three defeats in a row.
La Real struggled on the road too and comes here looking to end a run of two straight away defeats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Real Sociedad Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.3 | 7.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Real Sociedad match is: Barcelona win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2025 between Barcelona and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.65% for a win of Barcelona against Real Sociedad with odds of 1.38 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Real Sociedad is 21.69% with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Barcelona with odds of 8.5 at Bet365.
Barcelona - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 60.65% | 1.38 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.64% | 1.38 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Barcelona/Barcelona | 30.2% | 2 at Bet365 |
Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Form
Barcelona and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
|
14
|
13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 |
Barcelona and Real Sociedad Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
19 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
13 May 2024 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
20 May 2023 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
Barcelona against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
M. ter Stegen
J. Garcia
DefenderA. Balde
MidfielderGavi
F. Lopez
ForwardRaphinha
A. Elustondo
MidfielderY. Herrera
ForwardO. Oskarsson
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Real Sociedad
R. Lewandowski
(7 Goals)
, 
F. Torres
(7 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(5 Goals)
M. Rashford
(8 Assists)
A. Barrenetxea
(3 Assists)
Barcelona - Real Sociedad Key Points
- In four of their last six matches in all competitions, Barcelona saw goals scored by both teams.
- In the league, Barcelona won five of their six matches this season.
- Barcelona won 26 of their last 27 home matches against Sociedad in La Liga.
- Four of Sociedad’s last six league games saw both teams score goals.
- Two of Sociedad’s three away league games this season have returned goals from both teams.
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Our Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Barcelona were stretched by Real Oviedo in their last game, but there was enough quality to win by a two-goal margin. The Catalans have an upcoming Champions League fixture against PSG to plan for, which could make things interesting here. Sociedad haven’t had the best of starts to this campaign and have also traditionally struggled in away matches against Barcelona. They could still look to make things tricky for Barcelona and push them hard.
A win for Barcelona looks almost certain going by the odds, so our Barcelona vs Real Sociedad prediction is Barcelona win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Real Sociedad
| Barcelona vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 5.25 | -16.0% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 7.5 | 8.5 | +13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 75.2% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Barcelona and Real Sociedad when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
