Barcelona vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
A monumental midweek meeting is on the cards in the Champions League, with Barcelona and Newcastle set to collide at Camp Nou for a coveted spot in the quarter-final of this season’s competition. The winner of this tie between Blaugrana and the Magpies will meet either Atletico Madrid or Tottenham Hotspur in the last eight. Check out our match prediction below!
Barcelona were a long way from their best at St. James’ Park last week, but a last-minute penalty was enough to ensure they kept the tie level at 1-1. Hansi Flick warned that his team “need to do things better” after conceding cheaply at the weekend - a justified concern given his side has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 UCL matches.
The first leg of this tie proved to be a clash of styles, with Eddie Howe’s side’s speed and intensity causing problems against Barca’s patient build-up play early on. The Geordies will need another strong start in Catalonia, where Barca are unbeaten in their last 14 matches against English opposition. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Barcelona v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 4.9 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.8 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.48 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.8 | 5.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Newcastle match is: Anthony Gordon over 0.5 shots on target.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/03/2026 between Barcelona and Newcastle in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.89% for a win of Barcelona against Newcastle with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Newcastle is 12.31% with odds of 5.04 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Barcelona with odds of 5.4 at Roobet.
Barcelona - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 60.89% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.87% | 1.16 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Barcelona/Barcelona | 30.11% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Barcelona vs Newcastle Form
Barcelona and Newcastle Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
3 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
Barcelona vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Barcelona - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Barcelona maintained 54% possession in the first leg, which should increase further in this match on home soil. However, they will be looking for greater output, having only managed two shots on target at St. James’ Park.
Blaugrana notched up a 5-2 victory over Sevilla this past weekend to maintain their four-point advantage at the top of La Liga and extend their unbeaten run to six matches across all competitions (W5 D1).
This week’s hosts have been incredible at home of late, winning each of their last 17 matches across all competitions, dating back to a 2-1 defeat against PSG on Matchday 2 of the League Phase.
Barca have scored three or more goals in each of their last nine home games!
Meanwhile, Newcastle were wasteful with their attempts in the first leg, scoring only once despite firing 16 shots at goal - something they can ill-afford to do here given Barca’s strength at home.
The Magpies will enter this match with confidence, though, having beaten Chelsea 1-0 in the Premier League last weekend to move back into the top half of the standings in the English top flight.
The visitors’ only away loss in the UCL this season came against Marseille on MD5. They have won four of their last five matches on the road in all competitions, but lost on their two previous visits to Camp Nou.
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Barcelona against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Kochen
W. Szczesny
R. Araujo
A. Cortes Moyano
MidfielderGavi
R. Bardghji
M. Casado
T. Marques
X. Espart Font
D. Olmo
F. Torres
M. Rashford
A. Harris
N. Pope
J. Ruddy
DefenderT. Livramento
A. Murphy
S. Botman
J. Willock
J. Murphy
S. Neave
N. Woltemade
W. Osula
Y. Wissa
Missing players
A. Christensen
J. Kounde
A. Balde
MidfielderF. de Jong
F. Schar
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
Barcelona & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Lamine Yamal netted the last-gasp penalty in the first leg of this tie and is one goal away from scoring the most UCL goals before turning 19. The teenage sensation started on the bench at the weekend and should be well-rested for this clash.
Marcus Rashford is Barca’s top scorer in this competition (5) but was an unused substitute against Sevilla after getting just 20 minutes at St. James’ Park. While he will be hoping for a bigger role here, he will struggle to displace the attacking trio of Raphinha, Robert Lewandowski and Yamal.
The hosts have four players set to miss this match due to injury, including Andreas Christensen, Frenkie de Jong, Alejandro Balde and Joules Kounde.
Can Anthony Gordon step up again for Newcastle in this crucial fixture?
The English international started the first leg on the bench due to illness. However, he took his goal tally for the season to 16 over the weekend at Stamford Bridge, with 10 of those strikes coming in the UCL.
Despite getting the win, the Magpies looked light in midfield against the Blues, with Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes both missing. However, the Italian is expected to return for this match and will likely partner Joelinton in the visitors’ engine room.
Guimaraes is ruled out for at least another month with a muscle injury, and he will be joined on the sidelines for this match by Lewis Miley, Fabian Schar and Emil Krafth, while Joe Willock is a doubt.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Newcastle
F. Lopez
(6 Goals)
,
L. Yamal
(6 Goals)
A. Gordon
(10 Goals)
L. Yamal
(4 Assists)
,
F. Lopez
(4 Assists)
J. Murphy
(3 Assists)
,
K. Trippier
(3 Assists)
,
H. Barnes
(3 Assists)
Barcelona - Newcastle Key Points
- Anthony Gordon has scored 10 goals in 11 UCL appearances this season.
- Anthony Gordon is averaging 2.28 attempts at goal per 90 in this competition.
- Anthony Gordon is averaging 1.27 shots on target per 90 in this competition.
- Anthony Gordon scored against this opponent on MD1 during the League Phase.
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Our Barcelona vs Newcastle Prediction
Barcelona are massive favourites in this clash, and rightfully so, given their incredible record at home. They have won 17 in a row across all competitions at Camp Nou and scored three or more goals in each of their last nine at this venue.
However, the Catalans’ scoring prowess has been necessary as they are susceptible to conceding cheaply, as we saw over the weekend. We’re expecting Newcastle to try and start quickly in this match, and with his form in this competition, we fancy Anthony Gordon to trouble the hosts’ defence. Our Barcelona vs Newcastle prediction is Anthony Gordon over 0.5 shots on target.
Barcelona vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 & BTTS
Barcelona have scored three or more goals in each of their last nine home games, while Newcastle have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight on the road in all competitions.
Barcelona wins
Barcelona have won their last 17 home matches across all competitions and are unbeaten in their last 14 UCL home games against English opposition.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Newcastle
| Barcelona vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.6 | 1.62 | +1.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 5.04 | +32.6% |
| Newcastle wins | 5.5 | 5.4 | -1.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 61.7% (-0.8%)
Barcelona vs Newcastle - FAQs
The Champions League Round of 16 second leg between Barcelona and Newcastle will take place on March 18 at 17:45 UTC.
The Champions League Round of 16 second leg between Barcelona and Newcastle will be played at Camp Nou in Barcelona.
The Champions League Round of 16 second leg between Barcelona and Newcastle will be broadcast on Telefonica in Spain and TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
