Auxerre vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Auxerre had a good return to Ligue 1 and will hope to maintain the high standards in the second. They start 2025/26 with a home match against newly promoted Lorient. Read on for our prediction.
The second season after promotion is always said to be the toughest, but Auxerre will hope to negotiate through. A winning start will set them rolling; this time they are looking to finish better than 11th, which they achieved last season.
The one regret fans will have here is that last season’s lead scorer, Gaetan Perrin, has left. Having struggled in attack in preseason could be a pointer to what’s coming ahead. Auxerre failed to score in their last three friendly matches.
Lorient had a more assured run in attack in preseason, save only for their last friendly. They lost 1-0 to Angers and will be looking to address that in their coming competitive matches.
The last time out against Auxerre, Lorient also failed to score, losing 1-0. That was just an extension of the low-scoring returns this fixture has produced over the years.
In four of the last seven meetings between these teams, under 2.5 goals were registered, and at least one side failed to score. Lorient, having finished top of Ligue 2, will hope to carry their good run of form here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Auxerre v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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2.38 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
|
|
|
2.61 | 3.27 | 2.94 |
|
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
|
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2.43 | 3.22 | 3.02 |
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|
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2.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Lorient match is: Under 2.5 goals & BTTS – No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Auxerre and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.57% for a win of Auxerre against Lorient with odds of 2.61 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Lorient is 28.11% with odds of 3.45 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Auxerre with odds of 3.05 at Stake.
Auxerre - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auxerre Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 45.32% | 3.05 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.33% | 2.24 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient | 21.79% | 7.25 at LSbet |
Auxerre vs Lorient Form
Auxerre and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
Auxerre and Lorient Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 2
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 2
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2025 - Ligue 2
21 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2019 - Ligue 2
29 Apr 2019 - Ligue 2
3 Dec 2018 - Ligue 2
17 Feb 2018 - Ligue 2
Auxerre against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
T. De Percin
DefenderS. Agouzoul
F. Oppegard
L. Coulibaly
L. Sy
R. Matondo
A. Diousse
ForwardA. Onaiwu
T. Bair
B. Leroy
DefenderD. Yongwa
S. Siba
L. Leaudais
MidfielderT. Le Bris
D. Karim
P. Katseris
J. Makengo
ForwardS. Soumano
Missing players
S. Diomande
T. Siwe
MidfielderO. El Azzouzi
A. Faye
MidfielderB. Fadiga
N. Cadiou
Most goals and assists
Auxerre - Lorient Key Points
- At least one side failed to score in four of seven meetings between these teams.
- Lorient kept two clean sheets in their last four competitive matches.
- Auxerre failed to score in their last three preseason matches.
- Three of these teams’ last five meetings had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Auxerre vs Lorient Prediction
Much has been said about the departure of Auxerre’s top forward last season, and the effect of his absence is already being felt. The team failed to score in the final three preseason matches and enters the season in danger of struggling in attack.
This is already a low-scoring fixture, with both sides rarely getting on the score sheet. We can bet on that again here, as four of the last seven meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals. Our prediction for Auxerre v Lorient is: Under 2.5 goals & BTTS – No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Lorient
| Auxerre vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 2.34 | 2.61 | +11.5% |
| Draw | 3.57 | 3.45 | -3.4% |
| Lorient wins | 3.24 | 3.05 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.9% and is now 32.8% (1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.