Atletico MG vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
The 19th round of matches in the Brazilian Serie A is here, and Atletico-MG will be at home against Bahia. This Tuesday match finds Bahia sitting sixth, five places ahead of Atletico and separated by as many points. This prediction backs Atletico to prevail, having won four of the last six home league matches.
After recording a 1-0 defeat to Corinthians, Atletico rose to back-to-back wins before heading to the World Cup break. They will be looking to continue from where they left, as they welcome Bahia.
Atletico will also be targeting a second straight win in this fixture, having beaten Bahia 3-0 the last time they met. They’ve only suffered one defeat in their eight home league matches (4W, 3D).
Bahia wouldn’t have wanted the World Cup break at the time it came. They had just recorded two straight wins, improving what was otherwise a shaky campaign.
Now they are on the brink of breaking into the top-five and will want to return to their earlier form against Atletico-MG. Before their 3-0 loss to Atletico in November, Bahia were unbeaten in four meetings.
Among their battles in this game will be a poor away run, which has them winless in four in all competitions. Rogerio Ceni’s men have only recorded one win away from home in the last six games (4L, 1D).
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Atletico MG v Bahia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.12 | 3.35 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.36 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.36 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.36 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Bahia?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Bahia match is: Atletico-MG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/07/2026 between Atletico MG and Bahia in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.76% for a win of Atletico MG against Bahia with odds of 2.16 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Bahia is 17.64% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Bahia vs Atletico MG with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
Atletico MG vs Bahia Form
Atletico MG and Bahia's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +4 |
|
11
|
24 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 |
Atletico MG and Bahia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
21 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Bahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs Bahia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Assuncao
G. Delfim
DefenderK. Pascini
Vitao
MidfielderM. Cisse
M. Iseppe
I. Gomes
Alexsander
ForwardC. Soares
Dudu
Iuri
DefenderKanu
Iago
L. Juba
Marcos Victor
MidfielderE. Ribeiro
M. Araujo
Jean Lucas
C. Alexandre
ForwardEveraldo
K. Furquim
M. Sanabria
Missing players
V. Hugo
Patrick
Indio
Ronaldo
MidfielderC. Alexandre
ForwardR. Pablo
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
Bahia
V. Hugo
(3 Goals)
L. Juba
(7 Goals)
R. Lodi
(2 Assists)
,
Natanael
(2 Assists)
,
Bernard
(2 Assists)
E. Ribeiro
(4 Assists)
Atletico MG and Bahia Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG - Bahia Key Points
- Atletico-MG have only lost once in their eight home league outings.
- Bahia suffered three defeats in their last five away league games.
- Bahia won just once in their last 10 competitive matches.
- Atletico-MG have won four of their last six home league games.
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Our Atletico MG vs Bahia Prediction
Bahia managed two wins in their last 10 competitive matches. That is a run they will want to improve on, but their recent results on the road haven’t been very impressive. The World Cup break might have been disruptive for the visitors, though, as they had managed back-to-back wins in the league.
They will hope to pick up where they left off, but they aren’t strong travelers. None of their last four matches on the road returned a win, yet they face an Atletico side on a good home run. Our prediction for Atletico-MG v Bahia is that Atletico-MG wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
