Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions
A reeling Tottenham Hotspur side travels to Madrid this week for a Champions League clash against Atletico. The Premier League side will be hoping a switch in competitions provides reprieve in a season that is in tatters. Atleti host the first leg of a round of 16 tie between the two, with Spurs welcoming them in the return leg next week. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
This will be the first competitive meeting between the two in over 60 years. Atleti have been in splendid form in recent weeks and rightly arrive for this clash as heavy favorites. The hosts had to go the long way to get here, beating Club Brugge 7-4 on aggregate in the knockout playoffs.
Meanwhile, Spurs didn’t have to take that route, as they finished fourth in the league phase. The winner after two legs here will face either Newcastle United or Barcelona in the quarter-finals.
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Atletico Madrid v Tottenham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.69 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.78 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.8 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham match is: Atletico Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/03/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Tottenham in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.13% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Tottenham with odds of 1.76 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham is 18.46% with odds of 4.15 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 5.25 at Bet365.
Atletico Madrid - Tottenham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Tottenham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 59.13% | 1.76 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.79% | 1.91 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 30.49% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Form
Atletico Madrid and Tottenham Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Atletico Madrid - Tottenham: Form Analysis
Atleti have failed to win just one of their last five games. Diego Simeone’s men saw a four-match unbeaten run come to an end away to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey. They, however, recovered and are coming off a 3-2 win over Real Sociedad.
Rojiblancos had an on-and-off run in the league stage, as they went on to finish 14th. A 4-1 home win against Club Brugge secured a 7-4 aggregate win in the last round, earning them the right to play here. Atletico will hereby be facing a third EPL opponent this season and hope to win after losses to Arsenal and Liverpool.
Atletico have won just once in 10 matches against English sides.
Tottenham are having their worst season in ages. Qualifying for the knockout rounds in the UCL hasn’t masked the domestic struggles the Lilly Whites are going through. Igor Tudor’s men find themselves in the relegation picture in the EPL as they sit just one point above the drop zone. Spurs, who have been dumped out of all domestic cups, haven’t won any of their last six matches and are on a five-game skid.
Tottenham were not in action this weekend, taking time to reflect on a 3-1 home loss to Crystal Palace last week. Spurs have won just twice in their last 14 games. A positive thought from this run is that both wins came in the UCL – against Dortmund. However, they remain winless away against Spanish clubs in six games.
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Atletico Madrid against Tottenham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
J. Gimenez
C. Lenglet
MidfielderA. Baena
O. Vargas
P. Barrios
J. Diaz
Koke
N. Gonzalez
T. Almada
A. Sorloth
B. Austin
G. Vicario
R. Dragusin
J. Rowswell
MidfielderC. Olusesi
C. Gallagher
J. Palhinha
X. Simons
D. Solanke
Missing players
B. Davies
D. Udogie
MidfielderJ. Maddison
R. Bentancur
D. Kulusevski
M. Kudus
L. Bergvall
ForwardW. Odobert
Atletico Madrid & Tottenham Squad Analysis
Alex Sorloth has scored 15 goals this season for Los Colchoneros and was on target over the weekend. He grabbed three in the last UCL game as Atletico saw off Club Brugge 4-1. The Norwegian leads all other scorers at the club and should start in attack alongside Julian Alvarez.
Five of Alvarez’s 14 goals have come in nine games in the UCL. The Argentine forward has also provided two assists in the competition. Atletico defender Clement Lenglet will be facing former employers, Spurs, for whom he made 35 appearances as a loanee.
Lenglet and Gallagher will be facing their former teams in this encounter.
Tottenham are dealing with an injury nightmare and could be without nine players. James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, Mohammed Kudus, and Rodrigo Bentancur have all missed at least 15 games. Kudus and Bentancur had return dates set for this weekend, but this game with Atleti could have come too soon for the pair.
Ben Davies, Lucas Bergvall, Destiny Udogie, Wilson Odobert, and Djed Spence are the others who could miss this trip. Micky van de Ven, Spurs’ second leading scorer with seven goals, was sent off in domestic action but will be available for this match. Connor Gallagher will be facing his immediate former employers here.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
J. Alvarez
(10 Goals)
R. Kolo Muani
(4 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Lookman
(4 Assists)
P. Porro
(2 Assists)
,
C. Romero
(2 Assists)
,
R. Kolo Muani
(2 Assists)
,
W. Odobert
(2 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Tottenham Key Points
- Spurs have lost five consecutive games.
- Atletico have won four times in their last five outings.
- Seven of the last 10 visitors to Madrid against Atletico have lost.
- Spurs have failed to win in 10 of their last 12 away games, losing seven times.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Prediction
Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Tottenham Hotspur is that Atletico Madrid wins. This match sees two teams in contrasting trajectories face off. Atletico are in splendid form, as they have won four times in their last five outings and are on a four-game winning run at home.
Tottenham, on the other hand, are on a five-game skid. Though they have fared differently in Europe than in domestic competitions, this latest slump points at much worse than a dip in form. Coming up against a team playing with total confidence like Atleti could mean yet another loss for Spurs.
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Alternative Predictions
More than 3.5 goals
In our second prediction for this match, we are settling for an over 3.5 goals outcome. Atletico are a free-flowing attacking side and have scored at least three goals a match more often than they have not. In their last 10 outings, Atletico scored three or more goals six times. With their visitors possessing a porous backline, we could end up seeing another high-scoring tie involving Atleti.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Tottenham
| Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.64 | 1.76 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 4.16 | 4.15 | -0.2% |
| Tottenham wins | 4.94 | 5.25 | +6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 56.8% (-4.2%)
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham - FAQs
This match will be played on Tuesday, 10 March.
This match will be played at Atleti's Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain.
Fans in the UK will have this game on live telecast on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports 3. In Spain, be sure to catch this game on Telefonica. Detailed updates of the same and for all other UCL games this week can be found on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
