Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid and Mallorca will be facing off in La Liga this Sunday, both looking to build on league wins last time out. Placed fourth, hosts Atletico Madrid will be hosting this clash as 15th-placed Mallorca look to move away from the drop zone. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Atletico’s title challenge already looks faint, as they trail leaders Barcelona by eight points. With the two sides directly above them facing off this weekend, Diego Simeone’s men will know only they can let themselves down.
A 1-1 draw with Galatasaray in the Champions League slowed down their momentum, having earlier picked up two straight wins. In their last four league matches, Los Colchoneros are unbeaten, winning three.
Mallorca’s battles are different from Atletico’s; they are well in the relegation fight. In their last outing they posted a 3-2 win over Athletic Bilbao.
Now they are targeting back-to-back wins for the first time this season. Across all competitions this season, Mallorca have only managed seven wins.
Their latest one ended a four-game winless streak as well as opening up a two-point gap from the relegation region. At 21 points, they are 20 short of Atletico, who have dominated this fixture, with five wins in six meetings with Los Bermellones.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Atletico Madrid v Mallorca Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.4 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.2 | 8.9 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.74 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.9 | 9.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca match is: Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.77% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Mallorca with odds of 1.48 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca is 19.02% with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 10 at Shangrila.
Atletico Madrid - Mallorca Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Mallorca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 65.77% | 1.48 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.38% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 30.8% | 4 at LSbet |
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Form
Atletico Madrid and Mallorca's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
18
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 |
Atletico Madrid and Mallorca Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Mallorca Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
S. Esquivel Gamez
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
M. Ruggeri
R. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
MidfielderN. Gonzalez
J. Diaz
Koke
T. Almada
S. Esteban Sanchez
L. Bergstrom
I. Cuellar
DefenderA. Raillo
M. Morey
J. Olaizola
MidfielderJ. Virgili
P. Torre
I. Salhi
ForwardJ. Kalumba
J. Llabres
Abdon
T. Asano
Missing players
A. Griezmann
M. Kumbulla
Lato Toni
MidfielderM. Morlanes
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
V. Muriqi
(23 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
S. Darder
(5 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Mallorca Key Points
- Mallorca are coming off three defeats in their last five matches.
- Three times in their last seven away matches, Mallorca failed to score.
- Atletico Madrid conceded one goal in the last five meetings with Mallorca.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in six matches against Mallorca, winning five.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction
Atletico Madrid will come into this encounter as clear favorites, and playing at home adds to their advantage. They have posted nine straight wins at home in La Liga, and here’s their chance to put that into double digits. Five of those nine home league wins returned clean sheets as well, and they are the best-performing hosts in the league.
Mallorca, meanwhile, have registered just one win in their 10 away matches in La Liga. In six meetings with Atletico, they are winless and only managed one draw. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Mallorca is for Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Mallorca
| Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.33 | 1.48 | +11.3% |
| Draw | 5.69 | 5.4 | -5.1% |
| Mallorca wins | 11.3 | 10 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 67.6% (-7.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
