Spain - LaLiga
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by Devesh Jaganath in LaLiga Predictions
Monday’s double-header in La Liga kicks off with Athletic Bilbao taking on Rayo Vallecano at San Mames Baria. The Lions and the Red Sashes are sixth and third in the league standings, respectively, after the first week. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Last season was a major success for Athletic Club, as they secured a fourth-place finish in La Liga, which earned them entry to the Champions League after a decade-long absence.
The Red and Whites have begun this season positively as well, beating Sevilla 3-2 at this venue last week. The only defeat they’ve conceded in their last seven league games was to Barcelona on the final day of last season.
One of the biggest contributing factors to the hosts’ success last season was their excellent defence, which kept a stunning 15 clean sheets.
Meanwhile, after flirting with relegation in 2023-24, Rayo Vallecano turned things around in some style last season. They clinched eighth place in La Liga to qualify for European competition for the first time in 24 years.
Rayito have made an impressive start to this season, beating Girona 3-1 in their league opener before taking a 1-0 lead in their first-leg Conference League clash against Neman.
The visitors took 26 points from 19 away games last season (W7 D5 L7), but they have left this venue empty-handed on their last three league visits.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.63 | 3.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Athletic Bilbao wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/08/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.25% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 1.76 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano is 15.6% with odds of 3.77 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
6
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
1 May 2025 - Europa League
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 May 2025 - LaLiga
2 May 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2022 - LaLiga
Missing players
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderO. Sancet
U. Gomez
A. Mumin
L. Felipe
MidfielderO. Valentin
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
R. Navarro
(1 Goals)
,
N. Williams
(1 Goals)
,
M. Sannadi
(1 Goals)
A. Garcia
(1 Goals)
,
I. Palazon
(1 Goals)
,
J. De Frutos
(1 Goals)
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
J. De Frutos
(1 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao have won four of their last five league games.
- Athletic Bilbao only lost two home league matches last season.
- Athletic Bilbao kept 15 clean sheets in league competition last season.
- Athletic Bilbao have won their last three home games against this opponent.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Rayo Vallecano had an excellent last season and have begun this one very positively. However, this is the first test of their ability to balance European and domestic competition, so it will be interesting to see how they fare.
Athletic Bilbao were evidently a little rusty in their league opener last week, but they got the job done and managed to blow off some of the cobwebs at the same time. We feel they’ll be much improved this weekend. Our Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is Athletic Bilbao wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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