Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Prediction - Champions League

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Europe - Champions League

Atalanta

21/01/2025 12:45

Sturm Graz

Prediction :

Half-time/Full-time: Atalanta/Atalanta

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Prediction published on 19/01/2025, 12:45 by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions

Atalanta still have a chance of automatically qualifying for the last 16 of the Champions League. They are 13th in the league phase with visitors Sturm Graz struggling down in 29th position. Can the Black and Blues boost their qualification hopes? Read our match prediction.

The Serie A side are in the seeded play-off positions but only two points adrift of the top eight. They are third in Serie A but have gone five league and cup games without a win. We'll look at this run in more depth in the form section of this preview. Their final game is at Barcelona.

Sturm Graz are still on their winter break but are top of the Austrian Bundesliga. That form hasn't been carried into the much tougher Champions League. Five of their six games in the league phase have been lost, the other a home win over Girona. They are five points adrift of the unseeded play-off positions and only a win in Italy will maintain their qualification hopes before a final home game against RB Leipzig.

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Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Form

Atalanta and Sturm Graz's standings in the Champions League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9 Atalanta	15	8	4	3	1	+14
30 Sturm Graz	6	8	2	0	6	-9

Atalanta and Sturm Graz Last Matches

Atalanta Last matches

All Home Away

W D L D D L

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 3

Napoli

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

1 : 1

Juventus

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese

0 : 0

Atalanta

2 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan

2 : 0

Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio

1 : 1

Atalanta

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta

3 : 2

Empoli

W L W W D L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals

100% BTTS

2.67 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 3

Napoli

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

1 : 1

Juventus

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta

3 : 2

Empoli

18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta

6 : 1

Cesena

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta

2 : 3

Real Madrid

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 1

AC Milan

W W W D L D

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese

0 : 0

Atalanta

2 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan

2 : 0

Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio

1 : 1

Atalanta

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari

0 : 1

Atalanta

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma

0 : 2

Atalanta

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys

1 : 6

Atalanta

Sturm Graz Last matches

All Home Away

W L W L D L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka

2 : 0

Sturm Graz

17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Orijent 1919 Rijeka

1 : 1

Sturm Graz

11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz

0 : 1

Grasshopper Club Zurich

8 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz

2 : 1

FC Lugano

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Lille

3 : 2

Sturm Graz

7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Wattens

0 : 3

Sturm Graz

W D W W W L

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz

0 : 1

Grasshopper Club Zurich

8 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz

2 : 1

FC Lugano

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Sturm Graz

1 : 0

Girona

23 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

7 : 0

SK Austria Klagenfurt

2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

1 : 1

Rapid Wien

30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup

Sturm Graz

2 : 1

Blau-Weiss Linz

W D W L D L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka

2 : 0

Sturm Graz

17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Orijent 1919 Rijeka

1 : 1

Sturm Graz

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Lille

3 : 2

Sturm Graz

7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Wattens

0 : 3

Sturm Graz

30 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

SCR Altach

1 : 1

Sturm Graz

9 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg

1 : 2

Sturm Graz

Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

50 %

Draw

50 %

Sturm Graz

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

50%

BTTS

1.5

Goals scored

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

9 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Atalanta

1 : 0

Sturm Graz

26 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Sturm Graz

2 : 2

Atalanta

Atalanta - Sturm Graz: Form Analysis

Atalanta led at the weekend but still ended up losing 3-2 at home to Napoli. That made it three draws and two defeats since Christmas and they are now third in the table but seven points behind leaders Napoli.

It's been a tough run of fixtures though with other matches including games against the other four sides in the top five. Sturm Graz certainly aren't at the level of that opposition.

Atalanta have won three of their six games in this league phase, all away from home. On home soil, they drew with Arsenal but lost to defending champions Real Madrid.

Sturm Graz need to win their last two games to have any chance of reaching the play-offs. Just three points have been earned from their six games with five defeats. Their only win was at home to Girona and on the road, they have lost at Brugge, Dortmund and Lille.

Their last competitive fixture was on December 11. They have gone 11 away Champions League games without a win, not winning since 2001.

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Atalanta against Sturm Graz Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

M. Carnesecchi

R. Toloi

I. Hien

S. Kolasinac

M. Palestra

M. de Roon

M. Pasalic

D. Zappacosta

L. Samardzic

M. Retegui

C. De Ketelaere

A. Camara

W. Boving

O. Kiteishvili

M. Yalcouye

T. Chukwuani

J. Stankovic

D. Lavalee

G. Wuthrich

E. Aiwu

A. Malic

K. Scherpen

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2

Sturm Graz

Substitutes

Atalanta

Goalkeeper

R. Patricio

F. Rossi

Defender

R. Bellanova

G. Scalvini

J. Cuadrado

M. Palestra 46'

B. Djimsiti

S. Kolasinac 71'

M. Ruggeri

Midfielder

V. Vlahovic

M. Brescianini

L. Samardzic 64'

E. Silva

M. de Roon 64'

Forward

A. Lookman

M. Retegui 46'

Sturm Graz

Goalkeeper

D. Khudyakov

M. Bignetti

Defender

N. Geyrhofer

E. Karic

K. Schopp

Midfielder

T. Horvat

W. Boving 70'

L. Zvonarek

M. Yalcouye 69'

S. Hierlander

T. Chukwuani 78'

J. Hodl

Forward

S. Jatta

A. Camara 46'

L. Grgic

J. Stankovic 90'

P. Kiedl

Missing players

Atalanta

Defender

O. Kossounou

Forward

G. Scamacca

Sturm Graz

Atalanta & Sturm Graz Squad Analysis

Sead Kolasinac has served his suspension that kept him out of Serie A matches. Atalanta will be without Gianluca Scamacca and Odilon Kossounou for this match. There are doubts over the fitness of Juan Cuadrado with Mtteo Ruggeri, Davide Zappacosta and Raoul Bellanova possible starters.

They may also decide to include Charles De Ketelaere up front. He'd partner Ademola Lookman and Mateo Retegui who played against Napoli at the weekend.

Problems galore for Sturm Graz.

Sturm Graz haven't played a competitive fixture since December 11. They have been playing friendly matches but the last three have only produced a draw and two defeats.

They come into this match with plenty of selection problems. Top striker Mika Biereth has been transferred to Monaco and full-back Jusuf Gazibegovic is at Koln now. Out injured are Max Johnston and Seedy Jatta but goalie Kjell Scherpen and Amady Camara are available.

There could be as many as five teenagers playing for Sturm Graz but they have already played in this league phase.

Most goals and assists

Atalanta

Sturm Graz

Top Goalscorer

A. Lookman (5 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

M. Biereth (2 Goals)

Best assists

D. Zappacosta (5 Assists) ,

C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Best assists

T. Chukwuani (2 Assists)

Atalanta - Sturm Graz Key Points

Atalanta have won three of their six matches in this league phase.
Sturm Graz only have three points from their six matches.
Atalanta have only lost two of their last 11 home games in all competitions.
Sturm Graz have lost their last six Champions League away games.
Sturm Graz have only ever won two away Champions League games, the most recent one being 24 years ago.

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Our Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Atalanta look like being in the seeded positions for the Champions League play-offs. They could yet finish in the top eight but may well need to get a win at Barcelona to do so. Before that, they need to beat Sturm Graz at home.

They don't have a great home record in this competition but have been facing much tougher opposition. Sturm Graz are struggling to get into the unseeded play-off positions and haven't won an away Champions League since 2001.

Our main Atalanta v Sturm Graz prediction is Atalanta to win and lead at half and full time.

Prediction :

Half-time/Full-time: Atalanta/Atalanta

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Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Alternative Predictions

Atalanta to win and both teams to score

Odds 2.63

Ten of the last 14 Atalanta matches have seen both teams score. Both teams got on the scoresheet in six of their last eight victories. Sturm Graz do manage to get on the scoresheet on their travels and three of their last four away Champions League defeats saw both teams score.

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Atalanta vs Sturm Graz - FAQs

This match is being played on Tuesday January 21. Be careful with your pre-match bets as it's scheduled to start at 17:45 UK time.

This is the final home game for Atalanta in this league phase. That means the match will be played at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy.

To watch this Champions League game live on TV, UK viewers must tune into the subscription channel BT Sports. To keep in touch with all that's happening as it happens, go to our Premier League livescore which will have live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.