Atalanta vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Former Atalanta manager Gian Piero Gasperini will be seeking a triumphant return to Bergamo when his Roma side faces Atalanta in Serie A. This match finds the hosts in 10th place in the standings, while Roma are fourth. Read on for our prediction of the game.
Atalanta have dropped points in 12 of their 17 league matches this season. Lately things have been better, though, with La Dea winning three of their last five league games.
However, a 1-0 loss to league leaders Inter Milan in the last outing put a dent in their rise. It left them five points adrift of the European football places. Having won five of their last six meetings with Roma, Atalanta will be confident of bouncing back.
Roma have managed just two wins in their last 10 meetings with Atalanta. Coached by a former Atalanta manager and looking to stay in the title race, there are reasons for the visitors to seek a win here.
Only Roma and Inter Milan haven't drawn a league game this season, but that will not be their only source of motivation.
They wrapped up 2025 with a win, beating Genoa 3-1, for a second win in three league matches and seventh in 10 across all competitions. However, Roma lost their last two away league matches, but being the third-best performers away from home will still lift them.
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Atalanta v Roma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.33 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.1 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.1 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.28 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Roma?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Roma match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Atalanta and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.3% for a win of Atalanta against Roma with odds of 2.43 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Roma is 8.13% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Atalanta with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
Atalanta - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 56.3% | 2.43 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atalanta/Atalanta | 20.82% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Roma Form
Atalanta and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
Atalanta and Roma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 May 2025 - Serie A
2 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 May 2024 - Serie A
7 Jan 2024 - Serie A
24 Apr 2023 - Serie A
18 Sept 2022 - Serie A
Atalanta against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderI. Hien
H. Ahanor
M. Brescianini
Y. Musah
M. Pasalic
L. Samardzic
ForwardN. Krstovic
D. Maldini
K. Sulemana
D. Vasquez
P. Gollini
DefenderE. Lulli
K. Tsimikas
Angelino
W. Franca
J. Mirra
D. Ghilardi
MidfielderA. Romano
N. Pisilli
S. El Shaarawy
A. Dovbyk
Missing players
R. Bellanova
M. Bakker
E. Ndicka
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Roma
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
Atalanta - Roma Key Points
- Three of Atalanta’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Four of AS Roma’s last eight matches saw both teams score.
- Atalanta managed four clean sheets in six of their last 10 games.
- On average 2.6 goals were scored in Roma’s last five away games.
- In four of these teams’ last five meetings, both sides got on the scoresheet.
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Our Atalanta vs Roma Prediction
When Atalanta hosts this match, there is always the likelihood that it will be a high-scoring fixture. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 10 of the last 11 times they hosted. Also, both sides scored in those 10 outings.
There is a lot riding on this game as Roma look to stay in the race while Atalanta are trying to rise from a slow start to the season. Either way, this is expected to be an end-to-end battle, and our prediction for Atalanta v Roma is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Roma
| Atalanta vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 2.27 | 2.43 | +7.0% |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.15 | -6.8% |
| Roma wins | 3.59 | 3.55 | -1.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.1% and is now 41.2% (-2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
