Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open
WTA - WTA Australian Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka continues with her quest for another Australian Open title and faces 17th seed Victoria Mboko in the fourth round. This will be their first career meeting, and the winner will set up a quarter-final showdown with Yulia Putintseva or Iva Jovic. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Sabalenka has been perfect in 2026 and looks primed for another triumph in Melbourne. The world number one has started the year with eight consecutive victories without a single set being lost.
She opened the campaign by defending her Brisbane title, winning five matches at the event. Sabalenka is a two-time Melbourne champion and has reached the final in each of the last three seasons.
The 27-year-old defeated Anastasia Potapova in the last round in her toughest fixture yet as she required a tiebreaker in each set.
Victoria Mboko has grown from strength to strength since bursting onto the scene last season. In 2025, the Canadian won 62 matches and claimed a WTA 1000 title as her first triumph on tour.
This year, she has won eight of 10 contests and has contested one final in Adelaide. Voted Newcomer of the Year in 2025, Mboko is having quite the Australian Open debut.
She is through to the second week of a major for the first time and has done so by losing just one set in three outings. Mboko, who has jumped to 16th in the live ranking, defeated Clara Tauson in the last round.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Victoria Mboko Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.14 | 5.5 |
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1.16 | 5.3 |
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1.14 | 5.5 |
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1.14 | 4.8 |
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1.15 | 4.9 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko game on 24/01/2026 of the current WTA Australian Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 68.6% chance to win against Victoria Mboko according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.16.
- Victoria Mboko has a 31.4% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 68.6 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 68.6 % |
| Victoria Mboko | 31.4 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
22 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
9 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
16 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide
15 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide
14 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko Key Points
- Sabalenka is on an eight-match winning streak.
- Mboko won at least a set in nine of the 10 matches she contested this year.
- In the last three seasons, Sabalenka has made it to the Australian Open final.
- Sabalenka has won nine of the last 10 matches she has contested in Melbourne.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Victoria Mboko is the exact score: 2-1. Sabalenka has been on a tear in 2026. She is yet to lose with eight matches contested. The world number one hasn’t lost a single set and is our overwhelming favorite to emerge victorious.
We, however, feel that this will be Sabalenka’s toughest match yet, and she will play her first deciding third set. This is because Mboko has also started the season in a rich vein of form and is one of the rising young talents in the WTA.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Victoria Mboko, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.