Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA French Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka will take on 16th seed Naomi Osaka as she continues her quest for a first French Open title. Their third meeting of the season will be in the fourth round. Sabalenka has already beaten Osaka twice this season, and our prediction will favor her.
Sabalenka remains a favorite to win this year’s French Open title, especially now with the other high-profile eliminations. The world number one lost in last year’s final to Cori Gauff, who has since been eliminated.
Sabalenka has defeated Osaka twice this season. After a straightforward win at Indian Wells, the Belarusian had to come from behind to win in Madrid last month.
Sabalenka has compiled the best record on tour this season, winning 30 of 33 matches. To set up this showdown with Osaka, the 28-year-old defeated Daria Kasatkina.
Naomi Osaka is coming off a grueling third-round showdown with 17th seed Iva Jović. In one of the season’s longest matches, which lasted three hours, Osaka won in three long sets with the first two needing a tiebreaker.
The former world number one is having a strong year. She has compiled a 12-5 record and has registered seven of her wins on clay.
Osaka, who is competing in the second week at Roland Garros for the first time, is slowly creeping in on a return to the top 10. She is up to 15th in the live ranking.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.21 | 4.38 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.19 | 4.1 |
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1.2 | 4.1 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka match is: Sabalenka at -4.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka game on 01/06/2026 of the current WTA French Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 72.04% chance to win against Naomi Osaka according to 888Starz ⭐ with the odds of 1.25.
- Naomi Osaka has a 27.96% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4.5 at Betwinner.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 72.04 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 72.04 % |
| Naomi Osaka | 27.96 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
30 May 2026 - WTA French Open
28 May 2026 - WTA French Open
26 May 2026 - WTA French Open
9 May 2026 - WTA Rome
7 May 2026 - WTA Rome
28 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 May 2026 - WTA French Open
28 May 2026 - WTA French Open
26 May 2026 - WTA French Open
11 May 2026 - WTA Rome
10 May 2026 - WTA Rome
8 May 2026 - WTA Rome
Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
10 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka Key Points
- Sabalenka has won 30 matches so far this season.
- Sabalenka has won twice so far this season against Osaka.
- In her last seven meetings with top-10 players, Osaka lost six times.
- In the last three seasons, Sabalenka made it to at least the French Open quarter-finals.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
In our Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka prediction, we have Sabalenka at -4.5. Sabalenka has dominated her matchups with Osaka this season, winning twice against the former world number one. Their most recent matchup was on clay a month ago.
She should be able to come out on top once again, given her strong form this year and good record in Paris. Sabalenka finished as the French Open runner-up last season. It is also important to remember that Osaka has struggled lately against the WTA’s top players.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Naomi Osaka, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
