Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Up next for Aryna Sabalenka in her title defence in Madrid is a quarter-final showdown with 30th seed Hailey Baptiste. This will be the second time this season that the two are squaring off. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Sabalenka is breezing through the season and looks destined for another title. The Madrid defending champion has lost just once in 27 outings this term, and this has led to three titles and one runner-up finish.
To advance to this round, the world number one fought through three sets to defeat former world number one Naomi Osaka. Sabalenka defeated Baptiste in straight sets when they met for the first time a month ago in Madrid.
That win is part of a current 15-match winning streak by the Belarusian.
Hailey Baptiste is having quite the outing in Madrid and will attempt to produce the biggest win of her career. The American had never won multiple matches in two appearances in this event but is now among the last eight.
Her performances this week have seen her claw her way up the world rankings, where she is now 27th, a career high. Baptiste is also coming off a hard-fought three-set battle to advance to the quarters.
That was against 11th seed Belinda Bencic. Baptiste has won twice against WTA top 10 players this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Aryna Sabalenka v Hailey Baptiste Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.11 | 6.45 |
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1.1 | 7.2 |
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1.1 | 7 |
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|
1.09 | 6.2 |
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1.09 | 6.2 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste game on 28/04/2026 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 79.94% chance to win against Hailey Baptiste according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.11.
- Hailey Baptiste has a 20.06% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 7.4 at Shangrila.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 79.94 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 79.94 % |
| Hailey Baptiste | 20.06 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
28 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
26 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
16 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
14 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
1 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
Aryna Sabalenka - Hailey Baptiste Key Points
- Baptiste has lost 10 times so far this year.
- Sabalenka has won 26 of 27 matches in 2026.
- Sabalenka defeated Baptiste when they met earlier in the season.
- Baptiste is 32 places behind Sabalenka in the WTA world rankings.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Hailey Baptiste is for the exact score: 2-1. Sabalenka has been the in-form player on tour this season and has suffered just one defeat. She has won 26 matches and is on an incredible 15-match winning streak. The world number one looks formidable and, as the defending champion in Madrid, is a clear favorite for the title again.
Among the players she has defeated this term is Baptiste. We, however, feel the American will make a much better account of herself here and might steal a set. She has already won multiple times against top-10 opposition this season, including in her run in Madrid.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Hailey Baptiste game!
When you place a bet on the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Hailey Baptiste, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
