Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
The outgoing world No. 1 and the incoming world No. 1 are set to face off in the US Open final. Aryna Sabalenka meets Elena Rybakina in what’s expected to be a blockbuster at Flushing Meadows. The two clash in a second Grand Slam final this year. Rybakina won the first, at the Australian Open, in three sets, and our prediction backs this to need a decider too.
To reach here, Sabalenka saw off Jessica Pegula in straight sets in the semis. She has beaten Rybakina in their two meetings that came after that Australian Open final defeat.
As they face off for the fourth time this year, the 28-year-old will hope to make her fourth US Open final appearance count. Here, the Belarusian is seeking a third straight US Open title.
This match will mark the 18th career meeting between the two players. Rybakina has won seven of the previous 17 but lost four of the six times they faced off in a final.
After her loss to Rybakina at the Indian Wells and Miami events, Rybakina will have revenge on her agenda. She goes into this match placed top in the live ranking and will want to win this before officially assuming the world No. 1 spot.
The Kazakh beat Cori Gauff in the semis, dropping a set for the second straight outing. Rybakina comes here having won 48 of her 61 matches this season.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.7 | 2.17 |
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1.74 | 2.28 |
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1.68 | 2.18 |
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1.68 | 2.19 |
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1.7 | 2.16 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina match is: over 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina game on 12/09/2026 of the current WTA US Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 50.43% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.74.
- Elena Rybakina has a 49.57% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.28 at 1xbet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 50.43 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 50.43 % |
| Elena Rybakina | 49.57 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
8 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
6 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
9 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
7 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
5 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
1 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
26 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
15 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
31 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
8 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
10 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
15 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Sabalenka has a 4-4 record in Grand Slam finals.
- Rybakina’s last two matches were decided in three sets.
- Sabalenka failed to win a set in just five of her 17 meetings with Rybakina.
- Two of three meetings between these players this year were decided in three sets.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Two hardcourt specialists are set to face off in the 2026 US Open title match. The duo facing off for the fourth time this year is set to serve a spectacle to wrap up an enthralling fortnight of tennis. After this match, Rybakina will replace Sabalenka as the new WTA top player.
Sabalenka will want to give one big fight in her final game as the world No. 1 for now, but we doubt Rybakina will want to assume the new status on a low. In reality, there’s little to separate these two top players, and our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina is for the match to have over 2.5 sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.