Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Miami
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Another blockbuster of a match beckons at the Miami Open as defending champion Aryna Sabalenka meets third seed Elena Rybakina. This will mark the third meeting between the two this season, but they’ve clashed 16 times in total. Read on for our prediction.
This will be the first time this year that the two are not meeting in a title match. Each has won once, with Sabalenka winning the most recent, at Indian Wells. After earlier failing to go past the Miami quarter-finals, Sabalenka powered her way to the title last season.
She will be defending it as she eyes her third gong this season while also seeking a win against her biggest rival in recent times. The world number one hasn’t dropped a set here; she beat Hailey Baptiste in the quarters.
Incredibly, Rybakina is the only player this season who has taken a set off Sabalenka. The Kazakh has done that twice, and one of them saw her win the Australian Open title.
She couldn’t replicate the same at the Indian Wells final, and revenge will be on her mind. Rybakina is playing her third Miami Open semi-final, and so far has a 100% success rate at this stage.
She is, however, a two-time losing finalist here. Rybakina has also not lost a semi-final this season but has lost three more matches than Sabalenka in 2026.
To get here, Rybakina overcame Jessica Pegula, staying second in the live rankings.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.73 | 2.12 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.7 | 2.06 |
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1.7 | 2.06 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina match is: more than 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina game on 26/03/2026 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 53.88% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
- Elena Rybakina has a 46.12% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.14 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 53.88 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 53.88 % |
| Elena Rybakina | 46.12 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
15 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
13 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
15 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
13 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
15 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
31 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
8 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
10 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
15 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
20 Jun 2025 - WTA Berlin Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Twice in her last five matches, Rybakina dropped at least one set.
- Three sets were recorded in each of this duo’s last two meetings.
- Rybakina hasn’t failed to win a set in her matches this season.
- Rybakina is the only one Sabalenka has lost to this season.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Defending champion Sabalenka is on a 21-1 record for the year, while Rybakina has recorded 21-4 so far. Sabalenka has a 9-7 head-to-head advantage in this matchup, and these numbers indicate this will be another grueling battle.
It has been branded a final before the final, and rightly so. The two are facing off for the third time this season, with both earlier clashes seeing three sets played. Though Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a lot of sets this year, we feel this will once again go the distance. Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina is for more than 2.5 sets.
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When you place a bet on the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Elena Rybakina, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.