Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka and third seed Elena Rybakina meet yet again to decide the BNP Paribas Open. This is their second meeting in the final at Indian Wells and also their second matchup of the year. Read on for our prediction for the match.
Sabalenka is in her third final at this event, and she will be hoping that it is third time a charm as she seeks her first WTA 1000 title in California. The world number one is also contesting her third final of the year.
She has been in terrific form with only one loss in 17 outings. Her only defeat was inflicted by Rybakina in the Australian Open final, and she will be out for revenge.
The Belarusian, who has won all her 16 matches this season in straights, defeated Linda Noskova in the semis.
Rybakina has won four of the five finals in which she has faced off with Sabalenka. One of those was achieved at Indian Wells three seasons ago.
With this record, she will be confident of adding to a ballooning trophy cabinet. Rybakina has won five consecutive finals and, in total, has earned 12 tour titles, including two Grand Slams and two WTA 1000 titles.
To advance to the final, the 26-year-old outlasted world number eight Elina Svitolina, winning in straight sets. It was her 15th victory against a fellow WTA top 10 player since the start of last season, and she has now moved up to second in the live ranking.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.61 | 2.32 |
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1.61 | 2.32 |
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1.62 | 2.3 |
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1.58 | 2.26 |
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1.58 | 2.26 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina match is: Elena Rybakina wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina game on 15/03/2026 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 52.02% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.62.
- Elena Rybakina has a 47.98% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 2.32 at Melbet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 52.02 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 52.02 % |
| Elena Rybakina | 47.98 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
10 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
8 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
31 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
10 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
17 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
12 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
31 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
8 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
10 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
15 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
20 Jun 2025 - WTA Berlin Open
6 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Rybakina has won eight times previously against Sabalenka.
- Sabalenka has lost six of the last 10 tour finals she has contested.
- Rybakina has won 15 of the last 19 showdowns against fellow WTA top 10 players.
- Sabalenka has lost four finals to Rybakina.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina is that Elena Rybakina wins. These two are well known to one another, as aside from being among the WTA’s top performers, they have faced off a whopping 17 times. Sabalenka has the slight advantage, having won nine.
Rybakina, though, has claimed the more meaningful victories, making her our bet to win. Of the Kazakh’s eight wins, half have come in tournament deciders. She has beaten Sabalenka in one final at Indian Wells and also handed the Belarusian her only loss this season in the Melbourne final. It is not only against Rybakina, but Sabalenka has struggled in tournament deciders.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina game!

When you place a bet on the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Elena Rybakina, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.