Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Miami
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka will defend her Miami Open title against a very familiar foe as she is set to square off with Cori Gauff in Saturday’s final. Occupying two of the top four WTA world ranking slots, Sabalenka and Gauff have faced off 12 times previously and are tied at six wins each. We have a prediction of the match below.
Sabalenka, the world number one, defeated world number two Elena Rybakina in the semi-finals. On the other hand, Gauff, the world number four, overpowered 13th seed Karolina Muchova to reach her very first Miami final. The American edges Sabalenka when it comes to tournament deciders but is not favored by bookmakers to win her latest final.
In this contest Sabalenka, who is having an incredible year, is the firm favorite as she bids to retain her title. This is Sabalenka’s fourth final this year, and a win here will come with her third title of the season.
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Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.27 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 3.5 |
|
Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff match is: more than 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff game on 28/03/2026 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 63.39% chance to win against Coco Gauff according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.32.
- Coco Gauff has a 36.61% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 63.39 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 63.39 % |
| Coco Gauff | 36.61 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
26 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
15 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
26 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
24 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
21 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
6 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
6 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
7 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open
3 May 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
8 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha
12 Oct 2024 - WTA Wuhan Open
25 Jan 2024 - WTA Australian Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Coco Gauff: Form Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka is looking to become only the fifth woman in history to win the Sunshine Double. The top seed arrived in Miami to defend her title after finally achieving the champion status at Indian Wells. A 10-time WTA 1000 champion, the Belarusian had lost twice in the final in California.
Sabalenka has been on a tear in 2026. She has made it to the final of each of the four events she has contested. Champion also in Brisbane, the 27-year-old has lost just one of 23 fixtures, with her sole loss denying her another Australian Open crown. It is Rybakina who defeated her in Melbourne, and Sabalenka avenged that loss by beating the Kazakh in the final in Indian Wells. In their semi-final matchup this week, the world number one won by a loss of seven games.
Gauff will be playing her sixth WTA 1000 final, looking to overcome the best.
Cori Gauff has won two of the three tour finals that she has contested against Sabalenka. She will be hoping to extend this advantage as she seeks her first title of the season. Two of Gauff’s six wins in this fixture were earned in the finals of the French Open and US Open. The American turned on the style in the semi-final against Muchova after looking shaky for much of the tournament.
Gauff, who has won 16 of 21 matches so far, won via a decider in all four of her matches leading up to the semis. She would not need a third set against Muchova, though, as she secured a quick victory by allowing the Czech star just two games. Advancing to her sixth WTA 1000 final has seen the 22-year-old move up to third in the live ranking.
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Aryna Sabalenka & Coco Gauff Squad Analysis
Sabalenka is an aggressive, power-centered player who likes to play on the baseline. She has one of the more powerful serves in the women’s game and also strikes her groundstrokes with equal venom.
This season she has only dropped sets in two of her 23 matches, and both were against Elena Rybakina, her semi-final opponent. She has won 19 of her last 25 meetings with top 10 players.
Sabalenka is the world number one, ranked three places higher than Gauff.
Gauff is also an aggressive player on the court who possesses a wicked serve herself. Due to her shorter frame as compared to Sabalenka, the American will be much more nimble on the court.
This is a major asset when on defence. Her highlight of the season was reaching the semi-final stage in Dubai. She has now reached six WTA 1000 finals in her career. This is her first this season, and three were in 2025 alone, finishing as runner-up in Madrid and Rome and champion in Wuhan.
Aryna Sabalenka - Coco Gauff Key Points
- Four of Gauff’s last five matches needed a deciding set.
- Two of Sabalenka’s last three final matches had three sets.
- Gauff failed to win at least a set just once in her last 11 matches.
- Six previous duels between Sabalenka and Gauff had three sets played.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction
Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Cori Gauff is for more than 2.5 sets. Sabalenka has blazed her way through to the Miami final and is yet to lose a set in the tournament. It has been mostly like this for her this year.
The only matches in which she has played a decider have been tournament deciders, and we feel this weekend’s final will be no exception. This is because she is facing off with one of her biggest adversaries. Gauff and Sabalenka are tied after 12 meetings and have each won finals against one another.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Alternative Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka wins
For our second prediction, we are sticking with Sabalenka to win. Sabalenka is the Miami defending champion and has been on a great run of form in 2024, losing just one of 23 matches. Though Gauff has troubled her at times, we see this match going one way.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff game!
When you place a bet on the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Aryna Sabalenka or Coco Gauff, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff - FAQs
This match will be played on Saturday, 28 March.
This match will be played on Centre Court at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
This match will be aired live on SKY UK, while fans in Belarus can watch on IRIS and BetBoom. Those watching from North America can follow the action live on Tennis Channel. SportyTrader will also have detailed updates of the WTA Miami final.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
