Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Los Cabos Open

ATP - ATP Los Cabos Open

ATP 127 France
Arthur Gea
01/08/2026 23:00
ATP 68 Canada
Denis Shapovalov

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Denis Shapovalov is one win away from retaining his Los Cabos Open title. He is the only seeded player remaining in this outdoor hard court tournament  and ranked 59 places above opponent Arthur Gea. Our prediction is that Shapovalov will win this match.

There must be something about Los Cabos that inspires Denis Shapovalov.

The world number 68 won this ATP 250 tournament last year but has struggled for consistency in 2026. 

On all surfaces, only one of his last eight matches has been won. However, a return to Los Cabos has sparked a return to form for the Canadian. He has won four matches in a row and in the last four, defeated fifth seed Cameron Norrie in three sets, one of only two sets lost this week.

Arthur Gea is playing in his first ever ATP Tour final. Only two of his 19 outdoor hard court matches played this year have ended in defeat.

In the last rankings, the Frenchman was 127th but he is a career-high 100th in the live list. 

Gea had failed to get past round two of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament before this week. 

He has lost a set in three of his four matches this week and beaten one seed.

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Arthur Gea v Denis Shapovalov Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.17 1.64
1xbet
2.23 1.66
Melbet
2.23 1.66
Betwinner
2.23 1.66
Bet365
2.2 1.67
Check all Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov odds

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Who will win the Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov match is: Denis Shapovalov wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov game on 01/08/2026 of the current ATP Los Cabos Open season:

  • Arthur Gea has a 54.75% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.23.
  • Denis Shapovalov has a 45.25% probability of winning facing Arthur Gea ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at Bet365.

Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Arthur Gea has a 54.75 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Arthur Gea54.75 %
Denis Shapovalov45.25 %

Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Form

Arthur Gea and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches

Arthur Gea Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

31 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Coleman Wong
0 :  2
Arthur Gea

30 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Arthur Gea

29 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Arthur Gea
2 :  1
Michael Zheng

28 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Soonwoo Kwon
1 :  2
Arthur Gea

24 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Soonwoo Kwon
2 :  1
Arthur Gea

22 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Raul Brancaccio
0 :  2
Arthur Gea
Denis Shapovalov Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

1 Aug 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

31 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Dalibor Svrcina

29 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

29 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  1
Rinky Hijikata

17 Jun 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

15 Jun 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Jack Pinnington Jones
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov
Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Arthur Gea - Denis Shapovalov Key Points

  1. Shapovalov is the defending champion in this tournament.
  2. Gea is playing in his maiden ATP Tour final.
  3. Before this week, Gea had failed to get past round two of an ATP Tour event this year.
  4. Shapovalov has won four ATP Tour hard court titles.
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Our Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

It's been a massive week for unseeded Frenchman Arthur Gea. He has had excellent results on the Challenger Tour this year but struggled on the main tour. Each of his first three matches this week went to a deciding set and a side bet on that happening here could be a winner.

Denis Shapovalov has also struggled for consistency on the tour this year. Returning to Los Cabos has worked wonders and he is one win from retaining this title. Our Arthur Gea v Denis Shapovalov prediction is Denis Shapovalov wins,

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.