Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open

Prediction published on 01/11/2026, 09:01  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 01/11/2026 at 09:10 in ATP French Open Predictions

It's eight years since Karen Khachanov was the surprise winner of the Paris Masters. The Russian has reached one semi-final here since then. His 2026 campaign will begin with a first round match against fellow unseeded player Denis Shapovalov. Looking at recent stats and previous meetings, our prediction is more than 21.5 games.

In round two of this indoor hard court tournament, the victor will take on either 13th seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or wild card Moise Kouame.

Karen Khachanov is 25th in the live rankings, 26 places above his Canadian opponent. Khachanov has a 3-3 record on this surface in 2026. He has had some tough draws though with his last two matches (both lost) being inflicted by Alexander Bublik and Carlos Alcaraz.

Khachanov was a quarter-finalist in the recent Almaty Open. 

More than 21.5 games have been played in each of his last three matches, two going to a deciding set and with four tie-breaks played.

Denis Shapovalov has won both of his previous matches against Khachanov, but this is their first match since 2021.

Shapovalov has won four of his six indoor hard court matches this year with a semi-final reached in Dallas.

He's lost two of his last three matches. More than 21.5 games were played in seven of his last 13 indoor hard court matches.