Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Barcelona

ATP - ATP Barcelona

ATP 20 France
Arthur Fils
17/04/2026 10:00
ATP 11 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction :

 

Arthur Fils wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

This is the only quarter final in the Barcelona Open that is being contested by two seeded players. Second seed Lorenzo Musetti faces ninth seed Arthur Fils for a place in the semi-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Time for our match prediction.

Either seventh seed Cameron Norrie or wild card Rafael Jodar will be faced in the last four.

Lorenzo Musetti had lost his last three matches before this tournament got underway. His year began well on outdoor hard courts with a final and last eight reached but then he was injured. He only recently returned at Indian Wells.

Last week saw him lose in his first clay court match of the year against Valentin Vacherot. It has gone better this week with wins over Martin Landaluce and Corentin Moutet without dropping a set. He's eighth in the live rankings, 24 places above Fils but the Frenchman is ninth in the ATP Race.

His opponent is attempting to reach a second successive Barcelona Open semi-final. This is his third time in this tournament and he's never failed to reach the last eight. Fils missed January but since then has reached at least the quarter-finals in five out of six tournaments.

He's beaten Terence Atmane (in three sets) and Brandon Nakashima this week.

We tip Fils to win.

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Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.9 1.86
Betwinner
1.94 1.86
Bet365
1.91 1.91
Roobet
1.87 1.83
BC Game
1.87 1.83
Check all Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti odds

Who will win the Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Arthur Fils wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 17/04/2026 of the current ATP Barcelona season:

  • Arthur Fils has a 51.84% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.94.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 48.16% probability of winning facing Arthur Fils ⭐ with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.

Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Arthur Fils has a 51.84 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Arthur Fils51.84 %
Lorenzo Musetti48.16 %

Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches

Arthur Fils Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Arthur Fils
2 :  1
Terence Atmane

27 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Arthur Fils

25 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Arthur Fils

24 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Valentin Vacherot
1 :  2
Arthur Fils

22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Martin Landaluce
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Marton Fucsovics

25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Taylor Fritz

23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  2
Tomas Machac

Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arthur Fils

50 %

Lorenzo Musetti

50 %

9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Arthur Fils
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

9 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Arthur Fils
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Only eight players have earned more ranking points than Arthur Fils this year.
  2. In six tournaments this year, Fils has reached at least the quarter-finals in five of them.
  3. Fils reached the semi-finals of this tournament in 2025.
  4. Musetti has only had a couple of wins since making his return from injury.
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Our Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Both of these players have had time off court due to injury this year. Arthur Fils didn't start playing tournaments until February and has reached one final this year on hard courts. He now returns to clay on which he had success last year, including a semi-final in Barcelona.

Lorenzo Musetti missed February and began with three straight defeats. He has returned to winning ways this week in Barcelona. This could well go to three sets but our main Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Arthur Fils wins.

Prediction :

 

Arthur Fils wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction