Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Barcelona
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
This is the only quarter final in the Barcelona Open that is being contested by two seeded players. Second seed Lorenzo Musetti faces ninth seed Arthur Fils for a place in the semi-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Time for our match prediction.
Either seventh seed Cameron Norrie or wild card Rafael Jodar will be faced in the last four.
Lorenzo Musetti had lost his last three matches before this tournament got underway. His year began well on outdoor hard courts with a final and last eight reached but then he was injured. He only recently returned at Indian Wells.
Last week saw him lose in his first clay court match of the year against Valentin Vacherot. It has gone better this week with wins over Martin Landaluce and Corentin Moutet without dropping a set. He's eighth in the live rankings, 24 places above Fils but the Frenchman is ninth in the ATP Race.
His opponent is attempting to reach a second successive Barcelona Open semi-final. This is his third time in this tournament and he's never failed to reach the last eight. Fils missed January but since then has reached at least the quarter-finals in five out of six tournaments.
He's beaten Terence Atmane (in three sets) and Brandon Nakashima this week.
We tip Fils to win.
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Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.9 | 1.86 |
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1.94 | 1.86 |
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1.91 | 1.91 |
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1.87 | 1.83 |
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1.87 | 1.83 |
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Who will win the Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Arthur Fils wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 17/04/2026 of the current ATP Barcelona season:
- Arthur Fils has a 51.84% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.94.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 48.16% probability of winning facing Arthur Fils ⭐ with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.
Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Arthur Fils has a 51.84 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | 51.84 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 48.16 % |
Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
27 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
25 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
24 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Only eight players have earned more ranking points than Arthur Fils this year.
- In six tournaments this year, Fils has reached at least the quarter-finals in five of them.
- Fils reached the semi-finals of this tournament in 2025.
- Musetti has only had a couple of wins since making his return from injury.
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Our Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Both of these players have had time off court due to injury this year. Arthur Fils didn't start playing tournaments until February and has reached one final this year on hard courts. He now returns to clay on which he had success last year, including a semi-final in Barcelona.
Lorenzo Musetti missed February and began with three straight defeats. He has returned to winning ways this week in Barcelona. This could well go to three sets but our main Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Arthur Fils wins.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Arthur Fils vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!

When you place a bet on the match between Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Arthur Fils or Lorenzo Musetti, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.