Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Predictions Odds Live

Europe - Champions League

Arsenal
28/01/2026 15:00
Kairat Almaty

Prediction :

 

Kairat Almaty +4 European Handicap

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions

It’s top versus bottom in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) as Arsenal end their League Phase engagements with a matchday eight fixture against Kairat Almaty on Wednesday. This match in London between the first-placed Gunners and the 36th-placed ‘Team of the Nation’ comes with our prediction of Kairat Almaty +4 European Handicap.

Arsenal’s 21 points (W7) put them at the top of the pack with a three-point lead over Bayern Munich. They are already guaranteed a top-eight spot and most likely the top place. Kairat have one point (D1, L6) and are out of the competition. With their negative goal difference (minus 14), they are almost guaranteed to finish at the bottom.

That may make this game a no-stakes last matchday, but both teams still have something to play for. Arsenal need to get some confidence back in their game, while Kairat wouldn’t want to make their goal difference any worse. Is that enough to spice up the contest? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Arsenal v Kairat Almaty Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.05 15 40
Melbet
1.03 17 41
Betwinner
1.06 16 21
Bet365
1.03 17 41
Roobet
1.03 17 40
Check all Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Kairat Almaty?

Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty match is: Kairat Almaty +4 European Handicap.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/01/2026 between Arsenal and Kairat Almaty in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.64% for a win of Arsenal against Kairat Almaty with odds of 1.08 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty is 21.38% with odds of 19.5 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Kairat Almaty vs Arsenal with odds of 60 at Tonybet.

Arsenal - Kairat Almaty Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal Kairat Almaty Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 61.64% 1.08 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 62.7%
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal 28.92% 1.23 at LSbet

Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty Form

Arsenal and Kairat Almaty's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Arsenal
24 8 8 0 0 +19
36 Kairat Almaty
1 8 0 1 7 -15

Arsenal and Kairat Almaty Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

8 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool
W D W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United

8 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Wolves
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty Last matches
D D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  4
Club Brugge

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  1
Olympiacos

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Kairat Almaty

26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  1
FC Astana

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Pafos FC
L W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  4
Club Brugge

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  1
Olympiacos

26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  1
FC Astana

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Pafos FC

5 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
5 :  0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan

30 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Kairat Almaty

17 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Kyzylzhar SK
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

31 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

20 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
0 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Arsenal - Kairat Almaty: Form Analysis

Arsenal are coming off a 3-2 loss to Manchester United at this venue on Sunday in the English Premier League (EPL). While that hasn’t changed their leadership status, the Gunners still have work to do, as they won only three of their last six competitive games (D2, L1).

That said, the Gunners have won all seven of their UCL matches this season. They have scored 2+ goals in each of those games, while conceding only two goals in the entire competition – once each to Bayern Munich and Inter Milan.

Arsenal could win eight straight UCL games by 2+ goal margin for the first time.

Kairat have won just a single point in this UCL League Phase campaign, coming in a 0-0 draw against Pafos on matchday three. Following that draw, they have lost four matches and are likely to finish at the bottom of the table.

The Kazakhs have lost all three of their away games in the league phase of the campaign, but having scored in all those three, including against Inter Milan, they could trouble Arsenal.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

Arsenal against Kairat Almaty Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
K. Arrizabalaga
4
B. White
3
C. Mosquera
33
R. Calafiori
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
29
K. Havertz
16
C. Norgaard
10
E. Eze
20
N. Madueke
14
V. Gyokeres
11
G. Martinelli
7
Jorginho
26
Edmilson
24
A. Mrynskiy
3
L. Mata
6
A. Sadybekov
18
D. Glazer
20
E. Tapalov
80
E. Sorokin
14
A. Martynovich
25
A. Shirobokov
77
T. Anarbekov

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Kairat Almaty

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

T. Setford

J. Porter

Defender

P. Hincapie

R. Calafiori 46'

M. Salmon

G. Magalhaes

Midfielder

M. Zubimendi

I. Ibrahim

C. Norgaard 89'

M. Odegaard

K. Havertz 46'

Forward

B. Bailey-Joseph

G. Martinelli 77'

B. Saka

G. Jesus

V. Gyokeres 77'

L. Trossard

Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Goalkeeper

D. Buch

S. Kalmurza

Defender

D. Kassabulat

D. Glazer 70'

L. Kurgin

L. Mata 70'

Midfielder

V. Gromyko

Edmilson 59'

Forward

J. Stanojev

Ricardinho

E. Tapalov 59'

R. Bagdat

Jorginho 79'

Arsenal & Kairat Almaty Squad Analysis

Arsenal have no new injury concerns ahead of this fixture but will hope Riccardo Calafiori gets fit for the game. Declan Rice and Mikel Merino are out of contention, having picked up three yellow cards in the competition.

That opens the door for the likes of Noni Madueke, Gabriel Martinelli, Eberechi Eze, and Viktor Gyokeres to get into the playing XI. Coach Mikel Arteta is likely to stick with his 4-3-3 combination with Madueke and Gyokeres eager to make the most of this chance.

Gyokeres has two goals in his last four matches.

Dastan Satpaev missed Kairat’s last match against Club Brugge due to an injury, but is expected to feature here. The Kazakh visitors have no other injury concerns ahead of this trip.

They have usually lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which could continue here. Edmilson Santos could be the lone forward for the visitors, who has scored their only goal in this competition’s League Phase this year.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Kairat Almaty
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Martinelli (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Edmilson (1 Goals) ,  Israel O. Arad (1 Goals) ,  Kazachstan O. Baybek (1 Goals) ,  Kazachstan D. Satpaev (1 Goals) ,  Kazachstan A. Sadybekov (1 Goals) ,  Portugal Jorginho (1 Goals) ,  Brazil Ricardinho (1 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (5 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Ricardinho (1 Assists) , 
Georgia G. Zaria (1 Assists) , 
Kazachstan A. Mrynskiy (1 Assists) , 
Belarus V. Gromyko (1 Assists)

Arsenal - Kairat Almaty Key Points

  1. Arsenal have won all seven Champions League matches this season.
  2. In Arsenal’s last 23 competitive matches, they failed to overturn a -4 European Handicap.
  3. Six of Arsenal’s seven Champions League matches this season saw them win by less than a four-goal margin.
  4. Kairat lost six of their seven Champions League matches this season.
  5. Kairat +4 European Handicap was a successful pick in six of their last seven Champions League matches.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

On paper, there are little or no stakes for both teams. Arsenal are already through to the round of 16 as one of the top eight teams, while Kairat are already eliminated. That said, the Gunners need to regain their momentum after a demoralising 3-2 loss to Manchester United in the EPL last weekend. They also have the incentive of winning all eight League Phase games for the first time.

Kairat are almost certain to finish at the bottom of the points tally but could limit their losing margin. Our Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty prediction is Kairat Almaty +4 European Handicap.

Prediction :

 

Kairat Almaty +4 European Handicap

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty Alternative Predictions

Noni Madueke to score anytime

Odds 2.2

There’s enough talent on the Arsenal bench in their EPL loss against Manchester United, which made that defeat worrisome. Coach Arteta could look to juggle his pack, and that may mean game time for Noni Madueke. Back the forward to find the net.

Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Kairat Almaty

Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Arsenal wins 1.09 1.08 -0.9%
Draw 12.6 19.5 +54.8%
Kairat Almaty wins 55 60 +9.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 91.7% and is now 92.6% (0.8%)

Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty - FAQs

The Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League match is scheduled for an 8 pm GMT Time kick-off on Wednesday, January 28.
The Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League match is set to be played at the Emirates Stadium in London. This venue is known as Arsenal Stadium in UEFA competitions and has been the home of Arsenal Football Club since its completion in 2006. It has a seated capacity of 60,704 making it one of the largest football stadiums in England.

The Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 7 in the UK. In Uzbekistan, Quest Media and Z'Or TV are the official broadcasters.

You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!

Urs Schnyder of Switzerland is the match referee for this fixture. He will be assisted on the pitch by Marco Zurcher and Benjamin Zurcher, also from Switzerland. Completing the quartet from the same country is the fourth official Sven Wolfensberger. Fedayi San of Switzerland is the Video Assistant Referee.

This is the first-ever meeting between these teams.

Arsenal are only the second English side to host a team from Kazakhstan in Europe, following Manchester United’s 1-0 win over Astana back in 2019.

This is the last match of the League Phase for these sides. Arsenal are already qualified for the round of 16 as one of the top eight sides. Kairat are already eliminated from the competition and can’t even qualify for the play-offs.
This is the second season for the new format, as 36 teams start the League phase with four matches at home and four on the road. The top eight ranked teams from this phase will receive a bye to the round of 16. The teams ranked from 9th to 24th will play in the knockout phase play-offs. Among these, the teams from 9th to 16th are seeded, while the others are unseeded. Teams that are ranked from 25th to 36th will be eliminated from Europe.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.