Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Arsenal return to Premier League action after three successive cup matches. They can go 12 points clear at the top of the table with a home victory over 13th placed Bournemouth. Can the Cherries win at the Emirates again? Read our match prediction below.
The Gunners have stuttered in recent weeks with defeats inflicted by both Manchester City and Southampton. They could yet win the double with them in a strong position after their Champions League game in midweek. After this game they will have played two games more than second-placed Manchester City and with the two clubs facing each other at the Etihad later this month.
Bournemouth have been on a good run since they lost at home to Arsenal in January's reverse fixture. They still have a chance of qualifying for European football next season but do need to stop drawing so many games. They won at the Emirates last season and all Man City fans would love them to do so again.
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Arsenal v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.46 | 4.8 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.56 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.62 | 6.65 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Bournemouth match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Arsenal and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.01% for a win of Arsenal against Bournemouth with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Bournemouth is 32.78% with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Arsenal with odds of 7.2 at Melbet.
Arsenal - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 44.01% | 1.5 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 52.25% | 2.28 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 21.14% | 4.4 at LSbet |
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Form
Arsenal and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
Arsenal and Bournemouth Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Arsenal lead the Premier League by nine points with seven games to play. They can't afford any slip-ups this weekend but a win here and avoiding defeat at Manchester City next week will take them close to the title.
The Gunners have won 12 of their 15 home league games this season. Only one home league fixture has been lost and just nine goals conceded. They have had a few problems in recent domestic cup games but have gone four Premier League fixtures without defeat.
Their last seven home games have all been won with five of the last six seeing a clean sheet kept. Midweek saw them win 1-0 at Sporting. Five of their last six league and cup games have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
Bournemouth are the Premier League draw experts.
Bournemouth have drawn each of their last five games. Overall, the Cherries have drawn 15 league games this season, three more than any other club. That could prove vital at the end of the season.
Eighth place could see a team qualify for European competiton next season and Bournemouth trail that position by four points.
On the road this season, they have only won three league games but drawn seven with five defeats. Four of their last five away league games have seen less than 2.5 goals scored with the last two being goalless draws.
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Arsenal against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderP. Hincapie
C. Mosquera
M. Salmon
MidfielderE. Eze
M. Dowman
C. Norgaard
ForwardG. Jesus
L. Trossard
C. Mandas
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
MidfielderA. Toth
D. Brooks
T. Adams
A. Adli
B. Gannon-Doak
E. Unal
Missing players
J. Timber
R. Calafiori
MidfielderM. Odegaard
M. Merino
ForwardB. Saka
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
J. Kluivert
Arsenal & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Arsenal welcome several players back to their squad for the midweek UCL win in Lisbon. That was fully expected after playing a weakened line-up at Southampton in the FA Cup. They did pick up some injuries in Portugal.
Both Leandro Trossard and Martin Odegaard are slight doubts for this home game against Bournemouth. Bukayo Saka is so important to the Gunners and he missed the Champions League match. He remains a doubt for this Premier League fixture and the same applies to Jurrien Timber.
Arsenal do have a much stronger squad than in recent seasons. Kai Havertz and Gabriel Martinelli made key contributions when coming on as substitutes against Sporting. It's possible they could be in the starting line-up on Saturday.
Kroupi expected to be fit to play.
This will be Bournemouth's first game since the international break. Eli Junior Kroupi has made a massive impact with them this season with nine goals in the Premier League but had to withdraw from the French under-21 squad. He's expected to be fit for this game at the Emirates.
Bournemouth may not have the spending power of their opponents but they did win here last season. Tyler Adams and Lewis Cook have been injured but there's still a chance they could feature this weekend. Not so Justin Kluivert and Julio Soler.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Bournemouth
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
Arsenal - Bournemouth Key Points
- Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Bournemouth's last five away league games.
- Five of Arsenal's last six games in all competitions have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
- Bournemouth's last two away league games have both ended goalless.
- Arsenal's last two home league games have both had less than 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction
Arsenal have a tricky home game against Bournemouth. They will have had their confidence boosted by the midweek win in Lisbon and may well win this game. They aren't such prolific scorers as they were earlier in the season though but remain tight at the back at home.
Bournemouth lost to Arsenal in January but have been unbeaten since then. They just need to start converting draws into wins or there'll be no European football next season, Our main Arsenal v Bournemouth prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions
Arsenal wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Bournemouth
| Arsenal vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.3 | 1.5 | +15.4% |
| Draw | 5.8 | 4.9 | -15.5% |
| Bournemouth wins | 9.5 | 7.2 | -24.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 66.7% (-10.3%)
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Arsenal vs Bournemouth - FAQs
Arsenal will play Bournemouth on Saturday April 11. It’s an early kick-off at 12:30 UK time.
This is a home game for Arsenal. The match will be played at the Emirates in North London.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
