Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The Emirates Stadium will host a tough assignment for Arsenal when Aston Villa arrive on Tuesday night to take on the Premier League title favourites in a top-of-the-table tussle. The Gunners lead the league standings, while the Villans are in third place. Check out our match prediction below!
Arsenal enter this match seeking revenge! These top-flight front-runners are set to face off for the second time in a month, and when they last met, Arsenal suffered a 2-1 defeat at Villa Park. That result brought an end to Mikel Arteta’s side’s three-month unbeaten run, which included eight wins in 11 Premier League matches.
Since that battle in Birmingham, Unai Emery’s men have reeled off a further four wins in a row and are now riding an 11-match win streak across all competitions. Eight of those victories have come in the top-flight - just one shy of their longest-ever winning league run. Three points separate the top three in the standings - will we start the New Year with a new league leader?
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Aston Villa match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2025 between Arsenal and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.52% for a win of Arsenal against Aston Villa with odds of 1.47 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Aston Villa is 11.31% with odds of 4.68 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Arsenal with odds of 8.5 at Betfred.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Form
Arsenal and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
42 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
|
3
|
39 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
Arsenal and Aston Villa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Arsenal maintained a two-point advantage over Man City at the top of the Premier League standings over the weekend when they managed to secure a 2-1 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion.
Since losing to Villa at the start of the month, the Gunners have now won their last five matches across all competitions, including a penalty shootout victory over Palace in the EFL Cup quarter-final.
With fixtures coming thick and fast over the busy festive period, this will be the hosts' fourth match in the space of 10 days. However, the Emirates has been a fortress for Mikel Arteta’s side this season.
Arsenal have taken 25 points from a possible 27 at home this season (W8 D1)!
Meanwhile, Aston Villa have enjoyed sweet success in the capital of late, having pulled off a 2-1 comeback victory over Chelsea on Saturday - their second win in London in the space of a fortnight.
Notably, Villa’s victory at Stamford Bridge meant that they have now earned a league-high 18 points from losing positions this season, which is six more than any other team in the top flight.
The Lions are on a four-match win streak and have taken a joint-high 17 points from nine away league games this season (W5 D2 L2). They have also avoided defeat in their last two visits to the Emirates (W1 D1).
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
G. Magalhaes
C. Mosquera
B. White
MidfielderM. Dowman
ForwardK. Havertz
T. Mings
P. Torres
MidfielderR. Barkley
H. Elliott
ForwardE. Guessand
Arsenal & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Arsenal received a massive boost over the weekend, with Gabriel Magalhaes making his return from injury. In 9 matches without the Brazilian, the Gunners have only managed three clean sheets, while with him, they recorded 13 shutouts in 18 games.
However, Arteta still has a massive headache in defence, with Riccardo Calafiori being the latest concern after pulling out of the clash against Brighton at the weekend right before kickoff.
Jurrien Timber and Ben White are also out injured at present, which forced Arteta to deploy Declan Rice as an emergency right-back in the last match, while Cristhian Mosquera is ruled out for several weeks.
Eberechi Eze has five goal involvements in his last four home league games against Villa!
Donyell Malen started in the number nine role at Stamford Bridge, but it was Ollie Watkins, who came off the bench to score a brace and secure the points for Villa. The England international has scored four goals in his last five visits to the Emirates and should return to the starting 11 here.
However, that victory also came at a cost for Emery, with Matty Cash and Boubacar Kamara both being shown their fifth yellow cards of the season, which means they are suspended for this match.
As far as injury absentees go, Harvey Elliott, Pau Torres, Ross Barkley and Tyrone Mings are unavailable for the visitors, while Evann Guessand is away with the Ivory Coast at the Africa Cup of Nations.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Aston Villa
B. Saka
(7 Goals)
, 
V. Gyokeres
(7 Goals)
M. Rogers
(7 Goals)
, 
D. Malen
(7 Goals)
L. Trossard
(5 Assists)
,
D. Rice
(5 Assists)
M. Rogers
(5 Assists)
Arsenal and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League
Arsenal - Aston Villa Key Points
- Six of Arsenal’s last eight league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Arsenal have scored two or more goals in five of their last six home league matches.
- Six of Aston Villa’s last eight league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in five of their last six away league matches.
- Both teams have scored in the last two league matches between these sides.
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Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction
Arsenal have been incredible at home in the Premier League, but they have been much less impressive in defence of late - largely due to major injury setbacks - compared to earlier in the season.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, return to London for the second time in four days, riding high off a stunning comeback against Chelsea, which extended their win streak to 11 in a row. These two played to a 2-2 draw here last season, and we’re expecting a similar outcome in this one. Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction is BTTS.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Arsenal have scored two or more goals in five of their last six home league matches, while Aston Villa have done likewise in their last six away games. Additionally, three or more goals were scored in the last two Prem matches between these sides.
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Arsenal vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Aston Villa will take place on December 30 at 20:15 GMT.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Aston Villa will be played at the Emirates Stadium in North London.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Aston Villa will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
