Argentina vs Wales Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship

Rugby Union - Nations Championship

Argentina
11/07/2026 15:10
Wales

Prediction :

 

Wales +16.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Nations Championship Predictions

After contrasting fortunes in the opening round, Argentina and Wales go head-to-head in Round 2 of the Nations Championship on Saturday in San Juan. Wales have won their last three matches and stand a chance against Argentina, who are struggling for results recently, hence our prediction supporting the Dragons. 

Argentina came out second-best, suffering a shock 47–38 defeat at home to Scotland in their Nations Championship opener last week. Los Pumas trailed from the outset, going into halftime nine points behind before matching Scotland 28–28 in the second half.

That result marked their second consecutive Test defeat and left them second from bottom in the Southern Conference with one point. They have suffered defeat in five of their last seven Tests, making it hard to fancy the chances of comfortably acing this contest. 

Wales appear to have turned the corner after a disappointing 2026 Six Nations campaign. The Dragons edged the Barbarians 33–31 in their preparatory friendly and have carried that momentum into the Nations Championship. 

They defeated higher-ranked Fiji 39–24 in the opening round, marking their third consecutive win (including the Barbarians victory) and back-to-back Test wins. Steve Tandy's side are priced as underdogs here, but history is on their side, with the team having won both of their previous trips to face Argentina.

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Argentina v Wales Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.1 35 5.5
1xbet
1.14 29 6.05
Melbet
1.14 29 6.05
Betwinner
1.11 41 7
22bet
1.14 29 6.05
Check all Argentina vs Wales odds

Argentina vs Wales Form

Argentina and Wales Last Matches

Argentina
Argentina Last matches
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Argentina
38 :  47
Scotland

23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
27 :  23
Argentina

16 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
24 :  33
Argentina

9 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
28 :  52
Argentina

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
27 :  29
South Africa

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Argentina
38 :  47
Scotland

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
27 :  29
South Africa

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  23
New Zealand

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
24 :  41
New Zealand

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Argentina
52 :  17
Uruguay

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Argentina
17 :  22
England
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
27 :  23
Argentina

16 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
24 :  33
Argentina

9 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
28 :  52
Argentina

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina
Wales
Wales Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Fiji
24 :  39
Wales

27 Jun 2026 - Test Matches

Wales
33 :  31
The Barbarians

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
31 :  17
Italy

6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  17
Wales

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
23 :  26
Scotland

15 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
12 :  54
France
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

27 Jun 2026 - Test Matches

Wales
33 :  31
The Barbarians

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
31 :  17
Italy

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
23 :  26
Scotland

15 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
12 :  54
France

29 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
0 :  73
South Africa

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Fiji
24 :  39
Wales

6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  17
Wales

7 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

England
48 :  7
Wales

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
22 :  31
Wales

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
35 :  29
Wales

Argentina vs Wales Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Argentina

67 %

Draw

0 %

Wales

33 %

9 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
28 :  52
Argentina

14 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
17 :  29
Argentina

12 Nov 2022 - Test Matches

Wales
20 :  13
Argentina
Argentina vs Wales Prediction

Argentina - Wales Key Points

  1. Argentina have lost four of their last six Tests.
  2. Argentina have lost five of their last seven home Tests.
  3. Wales have won their last two Test matches.
  4. Wales have won their previous two away matches against Argentina.
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Our Argentina vs Wales Prediction

Wales produced a remarkable performance, defying the odds to edge higher-ranked Fiji in their Nations Championship opener. With back-to-back Test wins and strong results in previous trips to Argentina, the Dragons are likely to pose a significant challenge to the hosts. 

Meanwhile, Argentina have seen their fortunes decline recently. Their poor recent record at home also points to what is likely to be another tough test, hence our tip for Wales to win outright or cover the handicap. Our Argentina vs Wales prediction : Wales +16.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Wales +16.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.