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Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Los Cabos Open

ATP - ATP Los Cabos Open

ATP 10 Russia
Andrey Rublev
16/07/2025 22:10
ATP 493 Mexico
Alex Hernandez

Prediction :

 

Over 17.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Andrey Rublev begins his Los Cabos Open campaign. After receiving a first round bye, he faces Mexican wild card Alex Hernandez for a place in the last eight of this outdoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.

Rublev made his return to the top ten in the rankings in the latest list. He's currently tenth but will move up a place if winning this tournament. The Russian returns to hard courts after making it to round four at Wimbledon.

Hard court form this year has seen him win nine of his 16 matches. He will want to return to the form that saw him win the Doha title in February. His last three hard court matches have been lost but this is an ideal opportunity to return to winning ways.

The winner of this match will face either sixth seed Bu Yunchaokete or unseeded Emilio Nava.

Alex Hernandez delighted home fans when he defeated Taro Daniel in round one. The 26-year-old had to come from a set down to win that 147 minute match. The win has taken him to a new career-high of 430th.

He's reached two Challenger Tour hard court finals this year but rarely plays on the ATP Tour. We tip over 17.5 games to be played.

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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Alex Hernandez Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.03 17
William Hill
1.02 15
Betway
1.01 26
Ladbrokes
1.03 15
Unibet
1.02 14
Check all Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez odds
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez match is: over 17.5 games to be played.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez game on 16/07/2025 of the current ATP Los Cabos Open season:

  • Andrey Rublev has a 76.6% chance to win against Alex Hernandez according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.03.
  • Alex Hernandez has a 23.4% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 26 at Betway.

Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 76.6 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Andrey Rublev76.6 %
Alex Hernandez23.4 %

Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez Form

Andrey Rublev and Alex Hernandez Last Matches

Andrey Rublev Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  1
Lloyd Harris

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  1
Laslo Djere

19 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

17 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Sebastian Ofner
Alex Hernandez Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Taro Daniel
1 :  2
Alex Hernandez

24 Jun 2025 - Lima, Peru

Gonzalo Villanueva
2 :  0
Alex Hernandez

19 Jun 2025 - Santa Cruz, Bolivia, Qualifying

Alex Hernandez
0 :  2
Juan Manuel La Serna

17 Jun 2025 - Santa Cruz, Bolivia, Qualifying

Alex Hernandez
2 :  0
Hernan Casanova

15 Apr 2025 - San Luis Potosi, Mexico

Nicolas Mejia
2 :  0
Alex Hernandez

10 Apr 2025 - Mexico City, Mexico

Alex Hernandez
0 :  2
Bernard Tomic
Compare Andrey Rublev and Alex Hernandez with our comparison tool.

Andrey Rublev - Alex Hernandez Key Points

  1. Hernandez played three sets in his first round match.
  2. Hernandez has had some success on the ATP Tour, including reaching round two here in 2022 and losing 6-3 7-5 to Felix Auger-Aliassime.
  3. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Rublev has played at least one in each of his last five matches.
  4. Over 17.5 games have been played in each of Rublev's last 12 hard court matches.
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Our Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez Prediction

This is one of the most important matches in the career of Alex Hernandez. The wild card has the home fans on his side and that stirred him on to come from behind and defeat Taro Daniel (who he's previously lost to in this tournament) in three sets.

This is a lot tougher against Andrey Rublev who is the top seed here. The Russian played well at Wimbledon and will want to go deep back on hard courts. Our Andrey Rublev v Alex Hernandez prediction is over 17.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

 

Over 17.5 games

 
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Andrey Rublev vs Alex Hernandez Prediction
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