26 September 2023 - 07:40
- Final
ATP - ATP Chengdu Open
Prediction :
Alexander Zverev -3.5 game handicap
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Alexander Zverev vs Roman Safiullin Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open
by Joseph King | in Tennis Predictions
The final of the ATP Chengdu Open is set with the top-seeded tournament favorite Alexander Zverev taking on surprise finalist Roman Safiullin. The German Sascha Zverev was able to comfortably dispose of the prior second tournament favorite Grigor Dimitrov in straight sets in the semi-final. The 26-year-old is continuing his strong form and will look to cap off what has been a solid past two months with his first ever title in this competition. In addition to the trophy at stake, Zverev will also likely have an eye on the Nitto ATP Finals which start in mid November. Zverev, who was crowned champion of the ATP Finals in both 2018 and 2021, will do his qualification chances a world of good with a win here. He’s just recently overtaken Holger Rune for seventh-place in the qualification standings. This means that he would earn a spot in the competition as things currently stand as the top seven automatically progress. Being crowned ATP Chengdu champion would put a healthy buffer between Zverev and eighth-place.
Roman Safiullin is into his first career ATP final after upsetting Lorenzo Musetti in the semi-final to make it to this stage. Safiullin was superb in that match, winning in straight sets thanks to wins of 6-3 and 6-4. The Russian is playing some sublime tennis at the moment and has yet to lose a set at the Chengdu Open. Musetti was Safiullin’s biggest test so far in China but he’ll face a sizable challenge here in the form of Zverev. The last two times that Safiullin faced off against top-15 ranked opposition both resulted in losses (3-2 to Tommy Paul, 3-1 to Sinner). Currently holding the 55th position in the ATP rankings, he’ll have to upset 10th-ranked Alexander Zverev for his first title win. Zverev represents the highest-ranked player Safiullin will have gone up against since Sinner eliminated him from Wimbledon in the quarter-finals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Zverev v Roman Safiullin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.35 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.39 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.39 |
|
|
1.34 | 3.26 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.34 | 3.26 |
|
|
1.31 | 3.25 |
|
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Alexander Zverev vs Roman Safiullin Form
Alexander Zverev and Roman Safiullin Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
23 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
6 Sep 2023 - ATP US Open
4 Sep 2023 - ATP US Open
2 Sep 2023 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
22 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
20 Sep 2023 - ATP Chengdu Open
30 Aug 2023 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2023 - ATP US Open
Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin Key Points
- Zverev has a strong record of 20 wins and 11 losses in his 31 career ATP singles finals (64.5%).
- While Safiullin is 4-0 in Challenger event finals, this will be his first career ATP final.
- Only meeting between these two was the French Open in 2021 where Zverev won 3-0 and with a game differential of +5.
- Safiullin has a record of only 11 wins and 10 losses (55%) on hard courts in 2023 while Zverev has 18 wins and 10 losses (64%) on the surface.
- Zverev has covered a -3.5 game handicap in all three of his matches this tournament.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Roman Safiullin Prediction
Roman Safiullin has done brilliantly to make it to this stage and has knocked off some tough opposition on his path. While he had come into a few of his previous matches as the underdog, Zverev represents a significant jump in quality which is reflected in the odds. It’s difficult to gauge how the Russian will react to his first ever ATP final. However, on the other end we have a known quantity in Alexander Zverev who has an excellent record in finals in his career. Therefore, our Alexander Zverev vs Roman Safiullin prediction is for Zverev to win and cover the -3.5 game handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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