Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rotterdam

ATP - ATP Rotterdam

ATP 5 Australia
Alex De Minaur
14/02/2026 09:00
ATP 29 France
Ugo Humbert

Prediction :

 

More than 0.5 tie-breaks

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Alex de Minaur is one win away from a third successive ABN AMRO Open final. To reach another Rotterdam title decider, the Australian takes on unseeded Ugo Humbert. Read our match prediction below.

While de Minaur has reached the last two finals in this indoor hard court tournament, he is yet to lift the trophy. Winning the title would be a great early birthday present for the Australian who turns 27 next Tuesday.

The top seed has made it to this semi-final for the loss of only one set. That was the middle set in Friday's quarter-final win over Botic van de Zandschulp. Two of his three matches this week have included a tie-break.

Ugo Humbert trails de Minaur 5-2 in previous meetings. They are 1-1 on this surface and each of their last three matches have seen a tie-break.

Humbert is 35th in the live rankings, 27 places below his opponent.

The 27-year-old is hoping to make it into his second final of the year following one in Adelaide last month.  Humbert has also only lost one set in this tournament. It was fourth seed Daniil Medvedev who took that set off Humbert in their first round match. He's played one tie-break so far this week.

We tip more than 0.5 tie-breaks in this match.

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Alex De Minaur v Ugo Humbert Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.41 2.9
Betwinner
1.42 2.86
Bet365
1.4 3
Roobet
1.39 2.8
BC Game
1.39 2.8
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert odds

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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert game on 14/02/2026 of the current ATP Rotterdam season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 58.81% chance to win against Ugo Humbert according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
  • Ugo Humbert has a 41.19% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 3.1 at Shangrila.

Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 58.81 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur58.81 %
Ugo Humbert41.19 %

Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Form

Alex De Minaur and Ugo Humbert Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

12 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Stan Wawrinka

10 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Arthur Fils

27 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Frances Tiafoe
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur
Ugo Humbert Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

13 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Christopher O'Connell

12 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Guy Den Ouden

9 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Ugo Humbert

4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Ugo Humbert
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

3 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Botic Van De Zandschulp

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Ben Shelton
3 :  0
Ugo Humbert

Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

33 %

Ugo Humbert

67 %

28 Jul 2023 - ATP Atlanta Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

17 May 2022 - ATP Lyon Open

Ugo Humbert
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

25 Oct 2020 - ATP European Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert
Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert Key Points

  1. Only a couple of the seven previous matches between de Minaur and Humbert haven't included a 7-6 set.
  2. Two tie-breaks have been played by de Minaur ths week.
  3. Four of Humbert's last seven indoor hard court matches have included a tie-break.
  4. The last three matches between these two players have all seen a tie-break played.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Two in-form players face each other in the ABN AMRO Open semi-final. De Minaur is fifth in the ATP Live Race (based on points earned this year) but Ugo Humbert is in 12th place. A tight match looks likely on Saturday.

Each of their last three matches has seen a tie-break played. Between them they have already played three 7-6 sets in Rotterdam and another could be on the way on Saturday. Our Alex de Minaur v Ugo Humbert prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.

Prediction :

 

More than 0.5 tie-breaks

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.