Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rotterdam
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Australian Alex de Minaur is the top seed in this year's ABN AMRO Open. He takes on Frenchman Arthur Fils in round one of this indoor hard court tournament. Will we see the top seed beaten? Read our match prediction below.
Next up for the winner is either unseeded Aleksandar Vukic or wild card Stan Wawrinka.
Alex de Minaur is ninth in the live rankings and been runner-up in Rotterdam for the past two years. The 26-year-old has won six of his eight matches played in 2026. Two of his three matches were won when representing Australia in the United Cup.
In the Australian Open, de Minaur was beaten in the last eight by eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz.
Arthur Fils is playing only his second tournament since last August. A back injury kept him off court and he finally made his return in Montpellier last week. After beating Valentin Royer and Ugo Blanchert, he lost in the last eight to eventual champion Felix Auger-Aliiassime.
Fils is 42nd in the live rankings. He only took part in three indoor hard court matches in 2025 with a 2-1 record. He is 1-1 in previous matches with de Minaur but this their first match on this surface. We tip Alex de Minaur to win this in straight sets.
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Alex De Minaur v Arthur Fils Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.22 | 4.3 |
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1.22 | 4.3 |
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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1.2 | 4.1 |
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1.2 | 4.1 |
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils match is: Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils game on 10/02/2026 of the current ATP Rotterdam season:
- Alex De Minaur has a 60.37% chance to win against Arthur Fils according to 888Starz ⭐ with the odds of 1.24.
- Arthur Fils has a 39.63% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 4.4 at Shangrila.
Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 60.37 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 60.37 % |
| Arthur Fils | 39.63 % |
Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Form
Alex De Minaur and Arthur Fils Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
9 Jan 2026 - United Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
5 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
3 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 May 2025 - ATP French Open
Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
8 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
18 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona
Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils Key Points
- Fils is 33 places below de Minaur in the live rankings.
- De Minaur was the runner-up in this tournament in both 2024 and 2025.
- Due to injury, this is only the second tournament that Fils has played since last August.
- De Minaur has won six of his eight matches this year.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Prediction
After being the losing finalist for the past two years, top seed Alex de Minaur will want to gone one step further this month. The Australian has already reached the Australian Open quarter-finals in 2026.
After five months being injured, Arthur Fils is glad to be back on court. He was a quarter-finalist in Montpellier last week. This is a tough first round match for the Frenchman. Our Alex de Minaur v Arthur Fils prediction is Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.