Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Santiago Open
ATP - ATP Santiago Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Third seed Sebastian Baez continues with his quest for another Chile Open title and will take on eighth seed Alejandro Tabilo in the quarter-finals. This is a repeat of the 2024 Santiago final. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Alejandro Tabilo lost to Baez in the Santiago final two seasons ago. It remains their most recent showdown, and he will be keen to avenge that loss and move himself closer to being crowned champion.
The Chilean is coming off a hard fought second round battle. Facing the unseeded Thiago Agustin Tirante, Tabilo fought his way to win via a decider after losing the first set. He has now registered 13 of his 16 wins this season on clay.
Tabilo, who arrived in Santiago after finishing as runner-up in Rio, has moved up to 40th in the live ranking.
Sebastian Baez has made a negative jump in the live ranking despite advancing to the last eight this week. The Argentine has dropped five places to 57th after losing 115 points.
Baez has qualified for at least the semi-finals in each of his last four appearances in Santiago. He lost in the final last year, falling just short of successive triumphs.
The 25-year-old has won 11 of 15 outings and is 3-2 on clay. A finalist in Auckland at the start of the year, Baez was a semi-finalist in Buenos Aires two weeks ago.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Alejandro Tabilo v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.03 | 1.78 |
|
|
|
2.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
|
2 | 1.8 |
|
|
|
1.97 | 1.76 |
|
|
|
1.97 | 1.76 |
|
Who will win the Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez match is: more than 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez game on 27/02/2026 of the current ATP Santiago Open season:
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 46.24% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.1.
- Sebastian Baez has a 53.76% probability of winning facing Alejandro Tabilo ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.
Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Tabilo has a 46.24 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 46.24 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 53.76 % |
Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
22 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
22 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
3 Mar 2024 - ATP Santiago Open
Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Tabilo and Baez have each won on a clay surface in this fixture.
- Both Tabilo and Baez have won over 220 times on clay surfaces.
- Baez and Tabilo have contested a Chile Open final between them.
- The most recent showdown between Tabilo and Baez saw a decider played.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Our prediction for Alejandro Tabilo v Sebastian Baez is for more than 2.5 sets. These two players contested the Chile Open final two years ago. As they meet yet again in the competition, we expect a hard-fought showdown that will most probably go the full distance.
Both players are clay court specialists and have each won on such a surface in this fixture. Baez has a head-to-head advantage against Tabilo, who will be keen to avenge the loss in the final.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Alejandro Tabilo vs. Sebastian Baez game!

When you place a bet on the match between Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Alejandro Tabilo or Sebastian Baez, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.