Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Santiago Open

ATP - ATP Santiago Open

ATP 36 Chile
Alejandro Tabilo
27/02/2026 19:00
ATP 64 Argentina
Sebastian Baez

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Third seed Sebastian Baez continues with his quest for another Chile Open title and will take on eighth seed Alejandro Tabilo in the quarter-finals. This is a repeat of the 2024 Santiago final. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Alejandro Tabilo lost to Baez in the Santiago final two seasons ago. It remains their most recent showdown, and he will be keen to avenge that loss and move himself closer to being crowned champion.

The Chilean is coming off a hard fought second round battle. Facing the unseeded Thiago Agustin Tirante, Tabilo fought his way to win via a decider after losing the first set. He has now registered 13 of his 16 wins this season on clay.

Tabilo, who arrived in Santiago after finishing as runner-up in Rio, has moved up to 40th in the live ranking.

Sebastian Baez has made a negative jump in the live ranking despite advancing to the last eight this week. The Argentine has dropped five places to 57th after losing 115 points.

Baez has qualified for at least the semi-finals in each of his last four appearances in Santiago. He lost in the final last year, falling just short of successive triumphs.

The 25-year-old has won 11 of 15 outings and is 3-2 on clay. A finalist in Auckland at the start of the year, Baez was a semi-finalist in Buenos Aires two weeks ago.

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Alejandro Tabilo v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.03 1.78
Betwinner
2.1 1.73
Bet365
2 1.8
Roobet
1.97 1.76
BC Game
1.97 1.76
Check all Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez odds

Who will win the Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez match is: more than 2.5 sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez game on 27/02/2026 of the current ATP Santiago Open season:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has a 46.24% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.1.
  • Sebastian Baez has a 53.76% probability of winning facing Alejandro Tabilo ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.

Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Tabilo has a 46.24 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alejandro Tabilo46.24 %
Sebastian Baez53.76 %

Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Form

Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez Last Matches

Alejandro Tabilo Last matches
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  1
Thiago Agustin Tirante

24 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

22 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

22 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Ignacio Buse

20 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Thiago Agustin Tirante
1 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo
Sebastian Baez Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Christian Garin
1 :  2
Sebastian Baez

17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Jaime Faria
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez

14 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Ignacio Buse
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alejandro Tabilo

0 %

Sebastian Baez

100 %

27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

3 Mar 2024 - ATP Santiago Open

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Sebastian Baez

Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez Key Points

  1. Tabilo and Baez have each won on a clay surface in this fixture.
  2. Both Tabilo and Baez have won over 220 times on clay surfaces.
  3. Baez and Tabilo have contested a Chile Open final between them.
  4. The most recent showdown between Tabilo and Baez saw a decider played.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction

Our prediction for Alejandro Tabilo v Sebastian Baez is for more than 2.5 sets. These two players contested the Chile Open final two years ago. As they meet yet again in the competition, we expect a hard-fought showdown that will most probably go the full distance.

Both players are clay court specialists and have each won on such a surface in this fixture. Baez has a head-to-head advantage against Tabilo, who will be keen to avenge the loss in the final.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Prediction